xG 2.30 – 0.14 · xPts 2.72 – 0.16 · Group H
Spain backed up their xG edge (2.30–0.14 xG), winning 4–0.
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 21 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 2 July 2026, 02:56 ET · 4 matches, 12 goals, 11.16 total xG. Not live.
4 matches on 21 June, read through expected goals — the day's robberies, smash-and-grabs and standout performances below.
xG stories of the day
Most dominant display
Spain controlled the chances against Saudi Arabia, 2.30–0.14 xG — a 4–0 the balance of play backs up. xG breakdown →
Best defensive resilience
Iran held Belgium to 0 goals from 1.79 xG faced — a backs-to-the-wall job. xG breakdown →
Every 21 June match
xG 1.79 – 0.62 · xPts 2.19 – 0.59 · Group G
Belgium created far more (1.79–0.62 xG) but were held to a 0–0 draw.
xG 2.32 – 0.88 · xPts 2.27 – 0.56 · Group H
Uruguay created far more (2.32–0.88 xG) but were held to a 2–2 draw.
xG 1.24 – 1.87 · xPts 0.98 – 1.79 · Group G
Egypt edged a balanced game 1–3 (1.24–1.87 xG).
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.