Spain 4–0 Saudi Arabia

The xG verdict

Spain backed up their xG edge (2.30–0.14 xG), winning 4–0.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Spain vs Saudi Arabia?
Spain won 4–0. The xG was Spain 2.30, Saudi Arabia 0.14.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Spain vs Saudi Arabia?
Spain had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.30–0.14 and winning 4–0.
Fair resultWas Spain 4–0 Saudi Arabia fair by xG?
Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Spain turned a clear xG edge (2.30–0.14) into the full three points, finishing with 2.72 xPts (Δ +0.28).
Ranking contextWas Spain 4–0 Saudi Arabia a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Saudi Arabia entered 41st of 48 in the World Cup field; Spain entered 2nd of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 2.30–0.14.
Score4–0
Expected goals (xG)Spain 2.30 · Saudi Arabia 0.14
Expected points (xPts)Spain 2.72 · Saudi Arabia 0.16
StageGroup H
Published FIFA rankSpain FIFA #2 (2nd of 48) · Saudi Arabia FIFA #61 (41st of 48)

Who had the better xG in Spain vs Saudi Arabia?

Spain created the better chances — 2.30–0.14 xG, an edge of 2.16. And Spain duly won 4–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Spain earned 2.72 and Saudi Arabia 0.16 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.28 for Spain, -0.16 for Saudi Arabia).

Was Spain lucky or unlucky?

Spain were clinical in front of goal — 4 goals from 2.30 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.14 xGA). A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.28).

Was Saudi Arabia lucky or unlucky?

Saudi Arabia were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.14 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 4 from only 2.30 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.16).

What Spain 4–0 Saudi Arabia means for Group H

Spain sit 1st in Group H on 7 points (7.28 xPts, Δ -0.28); Saudi Arabia sit 4th on 2 points (1.39 xPts, Δ +0.61). See the full Group H table →

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