New Zealand 1–3 Egypt
Egypt edged a balanced game 1–3 (1.24–1.87 xG).
Quick answers
- ResultWho won New Zealand vs Egypt?
- Egypt won 3–1. The xG was New Zealand 1.24, Egypt 1.87.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in New Zealand vs Egypt?
- Egypt had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.87–1.24 and winning 3–1.
- Fair resultWas New Zealand 1–3 Egypt fair by xG?
- Yes. Egypt won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Egypt turned a clear xG edge (1.87–1.24) into the full three points, finishing with 1.79 xPts (Δ +1.21).
- Ranking contextWas New Zealand 1–3 Egypt a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. New Zealand entered 48th of 48 in the World Cup field; Egypt entered 26th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.87–1.24.
| Score | 1–3 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | New Zealand 1.24 · Egypt 1.87 |
| Expected points (xPts) | New Zealand 0.98 · Egypt 1.79 |
| Stage | Group G |
| Published FIFA rank | New Zealand FIFA #85 (48th of 48) · Egypt FIFA #29 (26th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in New Zealand vs Egypt?
Egypt created the better chances — 1.87–1.24 xG, an edge of 0.63. And Egypt duly won 3–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, New Zealand earned 0.98 and Egypt 1.79 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -0.98 for New Zealand, +1.21 for Egypt).
Was New Zealand lucky or unlucky?
New Zealand were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.24 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 3 from only 1.87 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.98).
Was Egypt lucky or unlucky?
Egypt were clinical in front of goal — 3 goals from 1.87 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.24 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +1.21).
What New Zealand 1–3 Egypt means for Group G
New Zealand sit 4th in Group G on 1 point (2.25 xPts, Δ -1.25); Egypt sit 2nd on 5 points (3.63 xPts, Δ +1.37). See the full Group G table →
21 June xG recap · New Zealand · Egypt · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results