New Zealand at the 2026 World Cup

Group exit

New Zealand did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. New Zealand finished fourth in Group G with 1 point from 2.25 group-stage xPts (Δ -1.25).

New Zealand had 4 goals from 2.72 xG (finishing luck +1.28) and 1 point from 2.25 xPts (points luck -1.25) in the World Cup 2026 group stage.

Next for New Zealand

Group table

Group G finish

1 point from 2.25 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Quick answers

Group exitDid New Zealand qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockouts?
New Zealand did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. New Zealand finished fourth in Group G with 1 point from 2.25 group-stage xPts (Δ -1.25).
Group-stage verdictHow lucky or unlucky were New Zealand in the World Cup 2026 group stage?
Group-stage totals: 1 point from 2.25 xPts (points luck -1.25) and 10 goals conceded from 7.01 xGA (defensive luck -2.99). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how New Zealand's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did New Zealand finish in Group G?
New Zealand finished fourth in Group G with 1 point from 2.25 group-stage xPts (Δ -1.25).
xG by stageWhat are New Zealand's group, knockout and total xG numbers?
New Zealand have 2.72 group-stage xGF and 7.01 group-stage xGA. No knockout xG is recorded for them yet.
Best xG matchWhat was New Zealand's best xG match?
New Zealand's highest-xGF match was 2–2 vs Iran: 1.24 xG for and 1.50 xG against.

xG by stage

StageMatchesGoalsxGF / xGAxGDxPtsScope
Group stage34102.72 / 7.01-4.292.25Official group-table scope
Total34102.72 / 7.01-4.292.25All completed xG-backed matches

Group-stage match receipts

Schedule context

New Zealand are -4.29 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 16.7/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #18.0 globally; trailed xG against a strong opponent field.

GroupGroup G · 4th in group
Knockout statusGroup exit Group-stage exit
Published FIFA rankFIFA #86 · 47th of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs scheduleAvg opponent field rank 16.7 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #18.0 · trailed xG against a strong opponent field
Group-stage played / record3 · 0W 1D 2L
Group-stage points1
Group-stage expected points (xPts)2.25
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)-1.25
Group-stage goals for / against4 / 10
Group-stage xG for / against2.72 / 7.01
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)+1.28
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)-2.99

Where New Zealand sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Riding their luckClinical, leakyWasteful, solidDeserved betterFinishing — goals minus xG →Defensive luck — xGA minus GA ↑
Where New Zealand sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are clinical but leaky.

See New Zealand on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

New Zealand 2–2 Iran

New Zealand had their strongest chance profile against Iran, winning the xG battle 1.24–1.50.

Group-stage match by match

-0.20@ Iran-0.98v Egypt-0.07v Belgium
Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.
DateMatchScoreGroup xGxPtsΔ
15 June@ Iran221.24–1.501.20-0.20
21 Junev Egypt131.24–1.870.98-0.98
26 Junev Belgium150.24–3.640.07-0.07

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points New Zealand took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

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