1–5 vs Belgium
Group G · xG 0.24-3.64

New Zealand did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. New Zealand finished fourth in Group G with 1 point from 2.25 group-stage xPts (Δ -1.25).
New Zealand had 4 goals from 2.72 xG (finishing luck +1.28) and 1 point from 2.25 xPts (points luck -1.25) in the World Cup 2026 group stage.
Group G · xG 0.24-3.64
1 point from 2.25 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.
Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.
| Stage | Matches | Goals | xGF / xGA | xGD | xPts | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group stage | 3 | 4–10 | 2.72 / 7.01 | -4.29 | 2.25 | Official group-table scope |
| Total | 3 | 4–10 | 2.72 / 7.01 | -4.29 | 2.25 | All completed xG-backed matches |
New Zealand are -4.29 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 16.7/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #18.0 globally; trailed xG against a strong opponent field.
| Group | Group G · 4th in group |
|---|---|
| Knockout status | Group exit Group-stage exit |
| Published FIFA rank | FIFA #86 · 47th of 48 World Cup teams |
| xG vs schedule | Avg opponent field rank 16.7 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #18.0 · trailed xG against a strong opponent field |
| Group-stage played / record | 3 · 0W 1D 2L |
| Group-stage points | 1 |
| Group-stage expected points (xPts) | 2.25 |
| Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts) | -1.25 |
| Group-stage goals for / against | 4 / 10 |
| Group-stage xG for / against | 2.72 / 7.01 |
| Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG) | +1.28 |
| Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA) | -2.99 |
See New Zealand on the full interactive luck quadrant →
New Zealand had their strongest chance profile against Iran, winning the xG battle 1.24–1.50.
New Zealand took 0 points from 0.98 xPts (Δ -0.98).
| Date | Match | Score | Group xG | xPts | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 June | @ Iran | 2–2 | 1.24–1.50 | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| 21 June | v Egypt | 1–3 | 1.24–1.87 | 0.98 | -0.98 |
| 26 June | v Belgium | 1–5 | 0.24–3.64 | 0.07 | -0.07 |
Δ here is per group-stage match: the points New Zealand took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.
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