xG 3.01 – 0.14 · xPts 2.85 – 0.09 · Group I
Senegal backed up their xG edge (3.01–0.14 xG), winning 5–0.
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 26 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 2 July 2026, 02:56 ET · 6 matches, 19 goals, 15.88 total xG. Not live.
6 matches on 26 June, read through expected goals — the day's robberies, smash-and-grabs and standout performances below.
xG stories of the day
Most fortunate result
France took 3 points from a 4–1 while out-chanced 1.50–1.70 — clinical, or fortunate (Δ +1.74). xG breakdown →
Most dominant display
Belgium controlled the chances against New Zealand, 3.64–0.24 xG — a 5–1 the balance of play backs up. xG breakdown →
Every 26 June match
xG 1.70 – 1.50 · xPts 1.51 – 1.26 · Group I
France edged a balanced game 1–4 (1.70–1.50 xG).
xG 0.20 – 0.86 · xPts 0.66 – 1.93 · Group H
Spain edged a balanced game 0–1 (0.20–0.86 xG).
xG 1.39 – 0.39 · xPts 2.15 – 0.58 · Group H
Cape Verde created far more (1.39–0.39 xG) but were held to a 0–0 draw.
xG 0.24 – 3.64 · xPts 0.07 – 2.88 · Group G
Belgium backed up their xG edge (3.64–0.24 xG), winning 1–5.
xG 0.84 – 1.97 · xPts 0.67 – 2.12 · Group G
Iran created far more (1.97–0.84 xG) but were held to a 1–1 draw.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.