Norway 1–4 France
France edged a balanced game 1–4 (1.70–1.50 xG).
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Norway vs France?
- France won 4–1. The xG was Norway 1.70, France 1.50.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Norway vs France?
- The xG was close to level (Norway 1.70, France 1.50), so France's 4–1 win was narrow rather than a major points-vs-xPts swing.
- Fair resultWas Norway 1–4 France fair by xG?
- Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- France took 3 points from 1.26 xPts (Δ +1.74), the biggest points-vs-chances swing in the match.
- Ranking contextWas Norway 1–4 France a published FIFA ranking upset?
- Not on the scoreboard, but the lower-ranked side had the stronger xG profile. Norway entered 28th of 48 in the World Cup field; France entered 3rd of 48. Norway lost after Norway 1–4 France despite leading xG 1.70–1.50.
| Score | 1–4 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Norway 1.70 · France 1.50 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Norway 1.51 · France 1.26 |
| Stage | Group I |
| Published FIFA rank | Norway FIFA #31 (28th of 48) · France FIFA #3 (3rd of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Norway vs France?
By expected goals, Norway vs France was a near-even contest — Norway 1.70 xG, France 1.50. France took the points 4–1, but the underlying chances were close to level. In expected points, Norway earned 1.51 and France 1.26 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -1.51 for Norway, +1.74 for France).
Was Norway lucky or unlucky?
Norway were wasteful in front of goal — just 1 from 1.70 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 4 from only 1.50 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -1.51).
Was France lucky or unlucky?
France were clinical in front of goal — 4 goals from 1.50 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 1 from 1.70 xGA faced. On balance a fortunate return — more than the chances merited (Δ +1.74).
What Norway 1–4 France means for Group I
Norway sit 2nd in Group I on 6 points (5.59 xPts, Δ +0.41); France sit 1st on 9 points (6.06 xPts, Δ +2.94). See the full Group I table →
26 June xG recap · Norway · France · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results