Uruguay 0–1 Spain

The xG verdict

Spain edged a balanced game 0–1 (0.20–0.86 xG).

Quick answers

ResultWho won Uruguay vs Spain?
Spain won 1–0. The xG was Uruguay 0.20, Spain 0.86.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Uruguay vs Spain?
Spain had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 0.86–0.20 and winning 1–0.
Fair resultWas Uruguay 0–1 Spain fair by xG?
Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Spain turned a clear xG edge (0.86–0.20) into the full three points, finishing with 1.93 xPts (Δ +1.07).
Ranking contextWas Uruguay 0–1 Spain a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Uruguay entered 15th of 48 in the World Cup field; Spain entered 2nd of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 0.86–0.20.
Score0–1
Expected goals (xG)Uruguay 0.20 · Spain 0.86
Expected points (xPts)Uruguay 0.66 · Spain 1.93
StageGroup H
Published FIFA rankUruguay FIFA #16 (15th of 48) · Spain FIFA #2 (2nd of 48)

Who had the better xG in Uruguay vs Spain?

Spain created the better chances — 0.86–0.20 xG, an edge of 0.66. And Spain duly won 1–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Uruguay earned 0.66 and Spain 1.93 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -0.66 for Uruguay, +1.07 for Spain).

Was Uruguay lucky or unlucky?

Uruguay were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.20 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.86 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.66).

Was Spain lucky or unlucky?

Spain were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.86 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.20 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +1.07).

What Uruguay 0–1 Spain means for Group H

Uruguay sit 3rd in Group H on 2 points (5.05 xPts, Δ -3.05); Spain sit 1st on 7 points (7.28 xPts, Δ -0.28). See the full Group H table →

26 June xG recap · Uruguay · Spain · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results