0–1 vs Spain
Group H · xG 0.20-0.86
Uruguay at the 2026 World Cup
Group exitUruguay did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. Uruguay finished third in Group H with 2 points from 5.05 group-stage xPts (Δ -3.05).
Uruguay have 2 points from 5.05 xPts, the biggest points-vs-xPts underperformance in the World Cup 2026 group stage.
Next for Uruguay
Group H finish
2 points from 5.05 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.
All scores with xG
Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.
Quick answers
- Group exitDid Uruguay qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockouts?
- Uruguay did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. Uruguay finished third in Group H with 2 points from 5.05 group-stage xPts (Δ -3.05).
- Deserved betterHow lucky or unlucky were Uruguay in the World Cup 2026 group stage?
- Group-stage totals: 2 points from 5.05 xPts (points luck -3.05) and 4 goals conceded from 2.40 xGA (defensive luck -1.60). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Uruguay's group-stage luck built game by game.
- Group finishWhere did Uruguay finish in Group H?
- Uruguay finished third in Group H with 2 points from 5.05 group-stage xPts (Δ -3.05).
- xG by stageWhat are Uruguay's group, knockout and total xG numbers?
- Uruguay have 4.24 group-stage xGF and 2.40 group-stage xGA. No knockout xG is recorded for them yet.
- Best xG matchWhat was Uruguay's best xG match?
- Uruguay's highest-xGF match was 2–2 vs Cape Verde: 2.32 xG for and 0.88 xG against.
xG by stage
| Stage | Matches | Goals | xGF / xGA | xGD | xPts | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group stage | 3 | 3–4 | 4.24 / 2.40 | +1.84 | 5.05 | Official group-table scope |
| Total | 3 | 3–4 | 4.24 / 2.40 | +1.84 | 5.05 | All completed xG-backed matches |
Group-stage match receipts
- 1-1 vs Saudi ArabiaxG 1.72-0.66 · xPts 2.12 · Δ -1.12
- 2-2 vs Cape VerdexG 2.32-0.88 · xPts 2.27 · Δ -1.27
- 0-1 vs SpainxG 0.20-0.86 · xPts 0.66 · Δ -0.66
Uruguay are +1.84 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 27.3/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #41.0 globally; led xG against a mid-ranked opponent field.
| Group | Group H · 3rd in group |
|---|---|
| Knockout status | Group exit Group-stage exit |
| Published FIFA rank | FIFA #20 · 19th of 48 World Cup teams |
| xG vs schedule | Avg opponent field rank 27.3 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #41.0 · led xG against a mid-ranked opponent field |
| Group-stage played / record | 3 · 0W 2D 1L |
| Group-stage points | 2 |
| Group-stage expected points (xPts) | 5.05 |
| Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts) | -3.05 |
| Group-stage goals for / against | 3 / 4 |
| Group-stage xG for / against | 4.24 / 2.40 |
| Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG) | -1.24 |
| Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA) | -1.60 |
Where Uruguay sit on the total xG luck quadrant
See Uruguay on the full interactive luck quadrant →
Best and worst group-stage xG matches
Uruguay 2–2 Cape Verde
Uruguay had their strongest chance profile against Cape Verde, winning the xG battle 2.32–0.88.
Uruguay vs Cape Verde
Uruguay took 1 point from 2.27 xPts (Δ -1.27).
Group-stage match by match
| Date | Match | Score | Group xG | xPts | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 June | @  Saudi Arabia | 1–1 | 1.72–0.66 | 2.12 | -1.12 |
| 21 June | v  Cape Verde | 2–2 | 2.32–0.88 | 2.27 | -1.27 |
| 26 June | v  Spain | 0–1 | 0.20–0.86 | 0.66 | -0.66 |
Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Uruguay took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.
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