Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay

The xG verdict

Uruguay created far more (1.72–0.66 xG) but were held to a 1–1 draw.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
It finished 1–1, so there was no scoreboard winner. The xG was Saudi Arabia 0.66, Uruguay 1.72.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
Uruguay created the better chances (1.72–0.66 xG), but the match finished 1–1.
Fair resultWas Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay fair by xG?
Not fully. Uruguay had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Uruguay took only 1 point from 2.12 xPts (Δ -1.12), leaving the most on the table by xG.
Ranking contextWas Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay a published FIFA ranking upset?
Partly on the result, not by xG. Saudi Arabia entered 41st of 48 in the World Cup field; Uruguay entered 15th of 48. The match was drawn, but xG favored the higher-ranked side 1.72–0.66.
Score1–1
Expected goals (xG)Saudi Arabia 0.66 · Uruguay 1.72
Expected points (xPts)Saudi Arabia 0.65 · Uruguay 2.12
StageGroup H
Published FIFA rankSaudi Arabia FIFA #61 (41st of 48) · Uruguay FIFA #16 (15th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?

Uruguay created the better chances — 1.72–0.66 xG, an edge of 1.06. But it finished 1–1, Uruguay unable to convert the better chances. In expected points, Saudi Arabia earned 0.65 and Uruguay 2.12 from this game; the actual return was 1 and 1 (Δ +0.35 for Saudi Arabia, -1.12 for Uruguay).

Was Saudi Arabia lucky or unlucky?

Saudi Arabia were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.66 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 1 from 1.72 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.35).

Was Uruguay lucky or unlucky?

Uruguay were wasteful in front of goal — just 1 from 1.72 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.66 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -1.12).

What Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay means for Group H

Saudi Arabia sit 4th in Group H on 2 points (1.39 xPts, Δ +0.61); Uruguay sit 3rd on 2 points (5.05 xPts, Δ -3.05). See the full Group H table →

15 June xG recap · Saudi Arabia · Uruguay · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results