Uruguay 2–2 Cape Verde

The xG verdict

Uruguay created far more (2.32–0.88 xG) but were held to a 2–2 draw.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Uruguay vs Cape Verde?
It finished 2–2, so there was no scoreboard winner. The xG was Uruguay 2.32, Cape Verde 0.88.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Uruguay vs Cape Verde?
Uruguay created the better chances (2.32–0.88 xG), but the match finished 2–2.
Fair resultWas Uruguay 2–2 Cape Verde fair by xG?
Not fully. Uruguay had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Uruguay took only 1 point from 2.27 xPts (Δ -1.27), leaving the most on the table by xG.
Ranking contextWas Uruguay 2–2 Cape Verde a published FIFA ranking upset?
Partly on the result, not by xG. Cape Verde entered 44th of 48 in the World Cup field; Uruguay entered 15th of 48. The match was drawn, but xG favored the higher-ranked side 2.32–0.88.
Score2–2
Expected goals (xG)Uruguay 2.32 · Cape Verde 0.88
Expected points (xPts)Uruguay 2.27 · Cape Verde 0.56
StageGroup H
Published FIFA rankUruguay FIFA #16 (15th of 48) · Cape Verde FIFA #67 (44th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Uruguay vs Cape Verde?

Uruguay created the better chances — 2.32–0.88 xG, an edge of 1.44. But it finished 2–2, Uruguay unable to convert the better chances. In expected points, Uruguay earned 2.27 and Cape Verde 0.56 from this game; the actual return was 1 and 1 (Δ -1.27 for Uruguay, +0.44 for Cape Verde).

Was Uruguay lucky or unlucky?

Uruguay were about on script in attack — 2 from 2.32 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 0.88 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -1.27).

Was Cape Verde lucky or unlucky?

Cape Verde were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 0.88 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (2 from 2.32 xGA). A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.44).

What Uruguay 2–2 Cape Verde means for Group H

Uruguay sit 3rd in Group H on 2 points (5.05 xPts, Δ -3.05); Cape Verde sit 2nd on 3 points (2.93 xPts, Δ +0.07). See the full Group H table →

21 June xG recap · Uruguay · Cape Verde · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results