Egypt 1–1 Iran
Iran created far more (1.97–0.84 xG) but were held to a 1–1 draw.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Egypt vs Iran?
- It finished 1–1, so there was no scoreboard winner. The xG was Egypt 0.84, Iran 1.97.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Egypt vs Iran?
- Iran created the better chances (1.97–0.84 xG), but the match finished 1–1.
- Fair resultWas Egypt 1–1 Iran fair by xG?
- Not fully. Iran had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Iran took only 1 point from 2.12 xPts (Δ -1.12), leaving the most on the table by xG.
- Ranking contextWas Egypt 1–1 Iran a published FIFA ranking upset?
- Partly on the result, not by xG. Egypt entered 26th of 48 in the World Cup field; Iran entered 19th of 48. The match was drawn, but xG favored the higher-ranked side 1.97–0.84.
| Score | 1–1 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Egypt 0.84 · Iran 1.97 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Egypt 0.67 · Iran 2.12 |
| Stage | Group G |
| Published FIFA rank | Egypt FIFA #29 (26th of 48) · Iran FIFA #20 (19th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Egypt vs Iran?
Iran created the better chances — 1.97–0.84 xG, an edge of 1.13. But it finished 1–1, Iran unable to convert the better chances. In expected points, Egypt earned 0.67 and Iran 2.12 from this game; the actual return was 1 and 1 (Δ +0.33 for Egypt, -1.12 for Iran).
Was Egypt lucky or unlucky?
Egypt were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.84 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 1 from 1.97 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.33).
Was Iran lucky or unlucky?
Iran were wasteful in front of goal — just 1 from 1.97 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.84 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -1.12).
What Egypt 1–1 Iran means for Group G
Egypt sit 2nd in Group G on 5 points (3.63 xPts, Δ +1.37); Iran sit 3rd on 3 points (4.27 xPts, Δ -1.27). See the full Group G table →
26 June xG recap · Egypt · Iran · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results