New Zealand 1–5 Belgium
Belgium backed up their xG edge (3.64–0.24 xG), winning 1–5.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won New Zealand vs Belgium?
- Belgium won 5–1. The xG was New Zealand 0.24, Belgium 3.64.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in New Zealand vs Belgium?
- Belgium had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 3.64–0.24 and winning 5–1.
- Fair resultWas New Zealand 1–5 Belgium fair by xG?
- Yes. Belgium won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Belgium turned a clear xG edge (3.64–0.24) into the full three points, finishing with 2.88 xPts (Δ +0.12).
- Ranking contextWas New Zealand 1–5 Belgium a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. New Zealand entered 48th of 48 in the World Cup field; Belgium entered 9th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 3.64–0.24.
| Score | 1–5 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | New Zealand 0.24 · Belgium 3.64 |
| Expected points (xPts) | New Zealand 0.07 · Belgium 2.88 |
| Stage | Group G |
| Published FIFA rank | New Zealand FIFA #85 (48th of 48) · Belgium FIFA #9 (9th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in New Zealand vs Belgium?
Belgium created the better chances — 3.64–0.24 xG, an edge of 3.40. And Belgium duly won 5–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, New Zealand earned 0.07 and Belgium 2.88 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -0.07 for New Zealand, +0.12 for Belgium).
Was New Zealand lucky or unlucky?
New Zealand were clinical in front of goal — 1 goal from 0.24 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 5 from only 3.64 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.07).
Was Belgium lucky or unlucky?
Belgium were clinical in front of goal — 5 goals from 3.64 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 1 from only 0.24 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.12).
What New Zealand 1–5 Belgium means for Group G
New Zealand sit 4th in Group G on 1 point (2.25 xPts, Δ -1.25); Belgium sit 1st on 5 points (6.63 xPts, Δ -1.63). See the full Group G table →
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