Senegal 5–0 Iraq

The xG verdict

Senegal backed up their xG edge (3.01–0.14 xG), winning 5–0.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Senegal vs Iraq?
Senegal won 5–0. The xG was Senegal 3.01, Iraq 0.14.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Senegal vs Iraq?
Senegal had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 3.01–0.14 and winning 5–0.
Fair resultWas Senegal 5–0 Iraq fair by xG?
Yes. Senegal won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Senegal turned a clear xG edge (3.01–0.14) into the full three points, finishing with 2.85 xPts (Δ +0.15).
Ranking contextWas Senegal 5–0 Iraq a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Iraq entered 39th of 48 in the World Cup field; Senegal entered 14th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 3.01–0.14.
Score5–0
Expected goals (xG)Senegal 3.01 · Iraq 0.14
Expected points (xPts)Senegal 2.85 · Iraq 0.09
StageGroup I
Published FIFA rankSenegal FIFA #15 (14th of 48) · Iraq FIFA #57 (39th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Senegal vs Iraq?

Senegal created the better chances — 3.01–0.14 xG, an edge of 2.87. And Senegal duly won 5–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Senegal earned 2.85 and Iraq 0.09 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.15 for Senegal, -0.09 for Iraq).

Was Senegal lucky or unlucky?

Senegal were clinical in front of goal — 5 goals from 3.01 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.14 xGA). A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.15).

Was Iraq lucky or unlucky?

Iraq were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.14 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 5 from only 3.01 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.09).

What Senegal 5–0 Iraq means for Group I

Senegal sit 3rd in Group I on 3 points (4.50 xPts, Δ -1.50); Iraq sit 4th on 0 points (0.86 xPts, Δ -0.86). See the full Group I table →

26 June xG recap · Senegal · Iraq · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results