Iran 2–2 New Zealand
An even contest (1.50–1.24 xG) finished 2–2.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Iran vs New Zealand?
- It finished 2–2, so there was no scoreboard winner. The xG was Iran 1.50, New Zealand 1.24.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Iran vs New Zealand?
- The draw was a fair xG outcome: Iran 1.50 xG, New Zealand 1.24.
- Fair resultWas Iran 2–2 New Zealand fair by xG?
- Yes. The scoreline and xG both point to an even match.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Iran took only 1 point from 1.55 xPts (Δ -0.55), leaving the most on the table by xG.
- Ranking contextWas Iran 2–2 New Zealand a published FIFA ranking upset?
- Partly on the result, not by xG. New Zealand entered 48th of 48 in the World Cup field; Iran entered 19th of 48. The match was drawn, but xG favored the higher-ranked side 1.50–1.24.
| Score | 2–2 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Iran 1.50 · New Zealand 1.24 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Iran 1.55 · New Zealand 1.20 |
| Stage | Group G |
| Published FIFA rank | Iran FIFA #20 (19th of 48) · New Zealand FIFA #85 (48th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Iran vs New Zealand?
By expected goals, Iran vs New Zealand was a near-even contest — Iran 1.50 xG, New Zealand 1.24. The 2–2 draw is roughly what the balance of chances deserved. In expected points, Iran earned 1.55 and New Zealand 1.20 from this game; the actual return was 1 and 1 (Δ -0.55 for Iran, -0.20 for New Zealand).
Was Iran lucky or unlucky?
Iran were about on script in attack — 2 from 1.50 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 1.24 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.55).
Was New Zealand lucky or unlucky?
New Zealand were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 1.24 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (2 from 1.50 xGA). A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.20).
What Iran 2–2 New Zealand means for Group G
Iran sit 3rd in Group G on 3 points (4.27 xPts, Δ -1.27); New Zealand sit 4th on 1 point (2.25 xPts, Δ -1.25). See the full Group G table →
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