Netherlands 5–1 Sweden
Netherlands backed up their xG edge (2.61–1.01 xG), winning 5–1.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Netherlands vs Sweden?
- Netherlands won 5–1. The xG was Netherlands 2.61, Sweden 1.01.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Netherlands vs Sweden?
- Netherlands had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.61–1.01 and winning 5–1.
- Fair resultWas Netherlands 5–1 Sweden fair by xG?
- Yes. Netherlands won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Netherlands turned a clear xG edge (2.61–1.01) into the full three points, finishing with 2.31 xPts (Δ +0.69).
- Ranking contextWas Netherlands 5–1 Sweden a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. Sweden entered 31st of 48 in the World Cup field; Netherlands entered 8th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 2.61–1.01.
| Score | 5–1 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Netherlands 2.61 · Sweden 1.01 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Netherlands 2.31 · Sweden 0.53 |
| Stage | Group F |
| Published FIFA rank | Netherlands FIFA #8 (8th of 48) · Sweden FIFA #38 (31st of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Netherlands vs Sweden?
Netherlands created the better chances — 2.61–1.01 xG, an edge of 1.60. And Netherlands duly won 5–1, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Netherlands earned 2.31 and Sweden 0.53 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.69 for Netherlands, -0.53 for Sweden).
Was Netherlands lucky or unlucky?
Netherlands were clinical in front of goal — 5 goals from 2.61 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.01 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.69).
Was Sweden lucky or unlucky?
Sweden were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.01 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 5 from only 2.61 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.53).
What Netherlands 5–1 Sweden means for Group F
Netherlands sit 1st in Group F on 7 points (6.01 xPts, Δ +0.99); Sweden sit 3rd on 4 points (3.63 xPts, Δ +0.37). See the full Group F table →
20 June xG recap · Netherlands · Sweden · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results