xG 1.08 – 0.35 · xPts 1.96 – 0.70 · Group D
USA edged a balanced game 2–0 (1.08–0.35 xG).
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 19 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 2 August 2026, 19:32 ET · 4 matches, 7 goals, 7.40 total xG. Not live.
4 matches on 19 June, read through expected goals — the day's robberies, smash-and-grabs and standout performances below.
xG stories of the day
Most fortunate result
Paraguay took 3 points from a 1–0 while out-chanced 0.32–2.17 — clinical, or fortunate (Δ +2.72). xG breakdown →
Every 19 June match
xG 0.51 – 0.99 · xPts 0.91 – 1.74 · Group C
Morocco edged a balanced game 0–1 (0.51–0.99 xG).
xG 1.75 – 0.23 · xPts 2.47 – 0.33 · Group C
Brazil backed up their xG edge (1.75–0.23 xG), winning 3–0.
xG 2.17 – 0.32 · xPts 2.57 – 0.28 · Group D
Turkiye dominated the chances (2.17–0.32 xG) but lost 0–1 — a full-point xPts robbery.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.