USA 2–0 Australia

The xG verdict

USA edged a balanced game 2–0 (1.08–0.35 xG).

Quick answers

ResultWho won USA vs Australia?
USA won 2–0. The xG was USA 1.08, Australia 0.35.
Better xGWho had the better xG in USA vs Australia?
USA had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.08–0.35 and winning 2–0.
Fair resultWas USA 2–0 Australia fair by xG?
Yes. USA won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
USA turned a clear xG edge (1.08–0.35) into the full three points, finishing with 1.96 xPts (Δ +1.04).
Score2–0
Expected goals (xG)USA 1.08 · Australia 0.35
Expected points (xPts)USA 1.96 · Australia 0.70
StageGroup D
Published FIFA rankUSA FIFA #17 (16th of 48) · Australia FIFA #27 (24th of 48)

Who had the better xG in USA vs Australia?

USA created the better chances — 1.08–0.35 xG, an edge of 0.73. And USA duly won 2–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, USA earned 1.96 and Australia 0.70 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +1.04 for USA, -0.70 for Australia).

Was USA lucky or unlucky?

USA were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 1.08 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.35 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +1.04).

Was Australia lucky or unlucky?

Australia were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.35 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 1.08 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.70).

What USA 2–0 Australia means for Group D

USA sit 1st in Group D on 6 points (4.96 xPts, Δ +1.04); Australia sit 2nd on 4 points (3.51 xPts, Δ +0.49). See the full Group D table →

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