Brazil 3–0 Haiti

The xG verdict

Brazil backed up their xG edge (1.75–0.23 xG), winning 3–0.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Brazil vs Haiti?
Brazil won 3–0. The xG was Brazil 1.75, Haiti 0.23.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Brazil vs Haiti?
Brazil had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.75–0.23 and winning 3–0.
Fair resultWas Brazil 3–0 Haiti fair by xG?
Yes. Brazil won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Brazil turned a clear xG edge (1.75–0.23) into the full three points, finishing with 2.47 xPts (Δ +0.53).
Ranking contextWas Brazil 3–0 Haiti a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Haiti entered 47th of 48 in the World Cup field; Brazil entered 6th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.75–0.23.
Score3–0
Expected goals (xG)Brazil 1.75 · Haiti 0.23
Expected points (xPts)Brazil 2.47 · Haiti 0.33
StageGroup C
Published FIFA rankBrazil FIFA #6 (6th of 48) · Haiti FIFA #83 (47th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Brazil vs Haiti?

Brazil created the better chances — 1.75–0.23 xG, an edge of 1.52. And Brazil duly won 3–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Brazil earned 2.47 and Haiti 0.33 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.53 for Brazil, -0.33 for Haiti).

Was Brazil lucky or unlucky?

Brazil were clinical in front of goal — 3 goals from 1.75 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.23 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.53).

Was Haiti lucky or unlucky?

Haiti were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.23 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 3 from only 1.75 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.33).

What Brazil 3–0 Haiti means for Group C

Brazil sit 1st in Group C on 7 points (6.50 xPts, Δ +0.50); Haiti sit 4th on 0 points (2.01 xPts, Δ -2.01). See the full Group C table →

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