How lucky or unlucky were Haiti in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 0 points from 2.01 xPts (points luck -2.01) and 8 goals conceded from 6.56 xGA (defensive luck -1.44). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Haiti's group-stage luck built game by game.

What are Haiti's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

Haiti have 2.50 group-stage xGF and 6.56 group-stage xGA. No knockout xG is recorded for them yet.

What was Haiti's best xG match?

Haiti's highest-xGF match was 2–4 vs Morocco: 1.22 xG for and 3.76 xG against.

Haiti at the 2026 World Cup

Group exit

Haiti did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. Haiti finished fourth in Group C with 0 points from 2.01 group-stage xPts (Δ -2.01).

Haiti have 0 points from 2.01 xPts, a clear group-stage case of results trailing the chances.

Next for Haiti

Latest xG match

2–4 vs Morocco

Group C · xG 1.22-3.76

Group table

Group C finish

0 points from 2.01 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

Group exitDid Haiti qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockouts?: Haiti did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. Haiti finished fourth in Group C with 0 points from 2.01 group-stage xPts (Δ -2.01).
Deserved betterHow lucky or unlucky were Haiti in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 0 points from 2.01 xPts (points luck -2.01) and 8 goals conceded from 6.56 xGA (defensive luck -1.44). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Haiti's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Haiti finish in Group C?: Haiti finished fourth in Group C with 0 points from 2.01 group-stage xPts (Δ -2.01).
xG by stageWhat are Haiti's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: Haiti have 2.50 group-stage xGF and 6.56 group-stage xGA. No knockout xG is recorded for them yet.
Best xG matchWhat was Haiti's best xG match?: Haiti's highest-xGF match was 2–4 vs Morocco: 1.22 xG for and 3.76 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	2–8	2.50 / 6.56	-4.06	2.01	Official group-table scope
Total	3	2–8	2.50 / 6.56	-4.06	2.01	All completed xG-backed matches

Group-stage match receipts

0-1 vs ScotlandxG 1.05-1.05 · xPts 1.35 · Δ -1.35
0-3 vs BrazilxG 0.23-1.75 · xPts 0.33 · Δ -0.33
2-4 vs MoroccoxG 1.22-3.76 · xPts 0.33 · Δ -0.33

Schedule context

Haiti are -4.06 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 14.7/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #17.7 globally; trailed xG against a strong opponent field.

Group	Group C · 4th in group
Knockout status	Group exit Group-stage exit
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #88 · 48th of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 14.7 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #17.7 · trailed xG against a strong opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 0W 0D 3L
Group-stage points	0
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	2.01
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	-2.01
Group-stage goals for / against	2 / 8
Group-stage xG for / against	2.50 / 6.56
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	-0.50
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	-1.44

Where Haiti sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where Haiti sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are deserved better.

See Haiti on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

Haiti 0–1 Scotland

Haiti had their strongest chance profile against Scotland, winning the xG battle 1.05–1.05.

Most unlucky result

Haiti vs Scotland

Haiti took 0 points from 1.35 xPts (Δ -1.35).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
13 June	v Scotland	0–1	1.05–1.05	1.35	-1.35
19 June	@ Brazil	0–3	0.23–1.75	0.33	-0.33
24 June	@ Morocco	2–4	1.22–3.76	0.33	-0.33

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Haiti took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

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