xG 1.11 – 1.66 · xPts 1.01 – 1.75 · Group B
Switzerland edged a balanced game 2–1 (1.11–1.66 xG).
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 24 June
Latest available post-match xG · updated 2 July 2026, 02:56 ET · 6 matches, 20 goals, 18.90 total xG. Not live.
6 matches on 24 June, read through expected goals — the day's robberies, smash-and-grabs and standout performances below.
xG stories of the day
Most fortunate result
Switzerland took 3 points from a 2–1 while out-chanced 1.11–1.66 — clinical, or fortunate (Δ +1.99). xG breakdown →
Most dominant display
Brazil controlled the chances against Scotland, 4.33–1.04 xG — a 3–0 the balance of play backs up. xG breakdown →
Every 24 June match
xG 0.68 – 0.77 · xPts 1.23 – 1.39 · Group B
Bosnia and Herzegovina edged a balanced game 3–1 (0.68–0.77 xG).
xG 1.04 – 4.33 · xPts 0.19 – 2.73 · Group C
Brazil backed up their xG edge (4.33–1.04 xG), winning 0–3.
xG 3.76 – 1.22 · xPts 2.57 – 0.33 · Group C
Morocco backed up their xG edge (3.76–1.22 xG), winning 4–2.
xG 1.16 – 0.90 · xPts 1.55 – 1.15 · Group A
South Africa edged a balanced game 1–0 (1.16–0.90 xG).
xG 0.53 – 1.74 · xPts 0.55 – 2.23 · Group A
Mexico backed up their xG edge (1.74–0.53 xG), winning 0–3.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.