1–3 vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
Group B · xG 0.77-0.68

Qatar did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. Qatar finished fourth in Group B with 1 point from 1.63 group-stage xPts (Δ -0.63).
Qatar had 2 goals from 1.59 xG (finishing luck +0.41) and 1 point from 1.63 xPts (points luck -0.63) in the World Cup 2026 group stage.
Group B · xG 0.77-0.68
1 point from 1.63 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.
Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.
| Stage | Matches | Goals | xGF / xGA | xGD | xPts | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group stage | 3 | 2–10 | 1.59 / 8.48 | -6.89 | 1.63 | Official group-table scope |
| Total | 3 | 2–10 | 1.59 / 8.48 | -6.89 | 1.63 | All completed xG-backed matches |
Qatar are -6.89 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 27.3/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #35.0 globally; trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field.
| Group | Group B · 4th in group |
|---|---|
| Knockout status | Group exit Group-stage exit |
| Published FIFA rank | FIFA #59 · 39th of 48 World Cup teams |
| xG vs schedule | Avg opponent field rank 27.3 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #35.0 · trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field |
| Group-stage played / record | 3 · 0W 1D 2L |
| Group-stage points | 1 |
| Group-stage expected points (xPts) | 1.63 |
| Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts) | -0.63 |
| Group-stage goals for / against | 2 / 10 |
| Group-stage xG for / against | 1.59 / 8.48 |
| Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG) | +0.41 |
| Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA) | -1.52 |
See Qatar on the full interactive luck quadrant →
Qatar had their strongest chance profile against Bosnia and Herzegovina, winning the xG battle 0.77–0.68.
Qatar took 0 points from 1.39 xPts (Δ -1.39).
Qatar took 1 point from 0.21 xPts (Δ +0.79).
| Date | Match | Score | Group xG | xPts | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 June | v Switzerland | 1–1 | 0.60–3.20 | 0.21 | +0.79 |
| 18 June | @ Canada | 0–6 | 0.22–4.60 | 0.03 | -0.03 |
| 24 June | @ Bosnia and Herzegovina | 1–3 | 0.77–0.68 | 1.39 | -1.39 |
Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Qatar took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.
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