Qatar at the 2026 World Cup

Group exit

Qatar did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. Qatar finished fourth in Group B with 1 point from 1.63 group-stage xPts (Δ -0.63).

Qatar had 2 goals from 1.59 xG (finishing luck +0.41) and 1 point from 1.63 xPts (points luck -0.63) in the World Cup 2026 group stage.

Next for Qatar

Group table

Group B finish

1 point from 1.63 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Quick answers

Group exitDid Qatar qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockouts?
Qatar did not qualify for the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. Qatar finished fourth in Group B with 1 point from 1.63 group-stage xPts (Δ -0.63).
Group-stage verdictHow lucky or unlucky were Qatar in the World Cup 2026 group stage?
Group-stage totals: 1 point from 1.63 xPts (points luck -0.63) and 10 goals conceded from 8.48 xGA (defensive luck -1.52). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Qatar's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Qatar finish in Group B?
Qatar finished fourth in Group B with 1 point from 1.63 group-stage xPts (Δ -0.63).
xG by stageWhat are Qatar's group, knockout and total xG numbers?
Qatar have 1.59 group-stage xGF and 8.48 group-stage xGA. No knockout xG is recorded for them yet.
Best xG matchWhat was Qatar's best xG match?
Qatar's highest-xGF match was 1–3 vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: 0.77 xG for and 0.68 xG against.

xG by stage

StageMatchesGoalsxGF / xGAxGDxPtsScope
Group stage32101.59 / 8.48-6.891.63Official group-table scope
Total32101.59 / 8.48-6.891.63All completed xG-backed matches

Group-stage match receipts

Schedule context

Qatar are -6.89 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 27.3/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #35.0 globally; trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field.

GroupGroup B · 4th in group
Knockout statusGroup exit Group-stage exit
Published FIFA rankFIFA #59 · 39th of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs scheduleAvg opponent field rank 27.3 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #35.0 · trailed xG against a mid-ranked opponent field
Group-stage played / record3 · 0W 1D 2L
Group-stage points1
Group-stage expected points (xPts)1.63
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)-0.63
Group-stage goals for / against2 / 10
Group-stage xG for / against1.59 / 8.48
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)+0.41
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)-1.52

Where Qatar sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Riding their luckClinical, leakyWasteful, solidDeserved betterFinishing — goals minus xG →Defensive luck — xGA minus GA ↑
Where Qatar sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are clinical but leaky.

See Qatar on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Group-stage match by match

+0.79v Switzerla…-0.03@ Canada-1.39@ Bosnia an…
Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.
DateMatchScoreGroup xGxPtsΔ
13 Junev Switzerland110.60–3.200.21+0.79
18 June@ Canada060.22–4.600.03-0.03
24 June@ Bosnia and Herzegovina130.77–0.681.39-1.39

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Qatar took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

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