South Africa 1–0 South Korea
South Africa edged a balanced game 1–0 (1.16–0.90 xG).
Quick answers
- ResultWho won South Africa vs South Korea?
- South Africa won 1–0. The xG was South Africa 1.16, South Korea 0.90.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in South Africa vs South Korea?
- The xG was close to level (South Africa 1.16, South Korea 0.90), so South Africa's 1–0 win was narrow rather than a major points-vs-xPts swing.
- Fair resultWas South Africa 1–0 South Korea fair by xG?
- Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- South Africa took 3 points from 1.55 xPts (Δ +1.45), the biggest points-vs-chances swing in the match.
- Ranking contextWas South Africa 1–0 South Korea a published FIFA ranking upset?
- Yes — and it was backed by xG. South Africa entered 40th of 48 in the World Cup field; South Korea entered 23rd of 48. South Africa won with the scoreline South Africa 1–0 South Korea and led the chance quality 1.16–0.90 xG.
South Korea finished third despite 5.09 xPts: South Korea took 3 points from 5.09 xPts, while South Africa took the Canada bracket slot with 4 points from 3.47 xPts.
| Score | 1–0 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | South Africa 1.16 · South Korea 0.90 |
| Expected points (xPts) | South Africa 1.55 · South Korea 1.15 |
| Stage | Group A |
| Published FIFA rank | South Africa FIFA #60 (40th of 48) · South Korea FIFA #25 (23rd of 48) |
Who had the better xG in South Africa vs South Korea?
By expected goals, South Africa vs South Korea was a near-even contest — South Africa 1.16 xG, South Korea 0.90. South Africa took the points 1–0, but the underlying chances were close to level. In expected points, South Africa earned 1.55 and South Korea 1.15 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +1.45 for South Africa, -1.15 for South Korea).
Was South Africa lucky or unlucky?
South Africa were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.16 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 0.90 xGA faced. A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +1.45).
Was South Korea lucky or unlucky?
South Korea were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 0.90 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.16 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -1.15).
What South Africa 1–0 South Korea means for Group A
South Africa sit 2nd in Group A on 4 points (3.47 xPts, Δ +0.53); South Korea sit 3rd on 3 points (5.09 xPts, Δ -2.09). See the full Group A table →
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