Switzerland 2–1 Canada
Switzerland edged a balanced game 2–1 (1.11–1.66 xG).
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Switzerland vs Canada?
- Switzerland won 2–1. The xG was Switzerland 1.11, Canada 1.66.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Switzerland vs Canada?
- Canada had the better xG profile, leading the chance quality 1.66–1.11, but Switzerland won 2–1.
- Fair resultWas Switzerland 2–1 Canada fair by xG?
- No. Switzerland won the scoreboard, but Canada had the stronger xG profile.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Switzerland took 3 points from 1.01 xPts (Δ +1.99), the biggest points-vs-chances swing in the match.
- Ranking contextWas Switzerland 2–1 Canada a published FIFA ranking upset?
- Not on the scoreboard, but the lower-ranked side had the stronger xG profile. Canada entered 27th of 48 in the World Cup field; Switzerland entered 18th of 48. Canada lost after Switzerland 2–1 Canada despite leading xG 1.66–1.11.
| Score | 2–1 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Switzerland 1.11 · Canada 1.66 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Switzerland 1.01 · Canada 1.75 |
| Stage | Group B |
| Published FIFA rank | Switzerland FIFA #19 (18th of 48) · Canada FIFA #30 (27th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Switzerland vs Canada?
Canada created the better chances — 1.66–1.11 xG, an edge of 0.55. Yet Switzerland won 2–1, a result that defied the expected goals. In expected points, Switzerland earned 1.01 and Canada 1.75 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +1.99 for Switzerland, -1.75 for Canada).
Was Switzerland lucky or unlucky?
Switzerland were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 1.11 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 1 from 1.66 xGA faced. On balance a fortunate return — more than the chances merited (Δ +1.99).
Was Canada lucky or unlucky?
Canada were wasteful in front of goal — just 1 from 1.66 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 1.11 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -1.75).
What Switzerland 2–1 Canada means for Group B
Switzerland sit 1st in Group B on 7 points (6.30 xPts, Δ +0.70); Canada sit 2nd on 4 points (6.24 xPts, Δ -2.24). See the full Group B table →
24 June xG recap · Switzerland · Canada · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results