Morocco 4–2 Haiti

The xG verdict

Morocco backed up their xG edge (3.76–1.22 xG), winning 4–2.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Morocco vs Haiti?
Morocco won 4–2. The xG was Morocco 3.76, Haiti 1.22.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Morocco vs Haiti?
Morocco had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 3.76–1.22 and winning 4–2.
Fair resultWas Morocco 4–2 Haiti fair by xG?
Yes. Morocco won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Morocco turned a clear xG edge (3.76–1.22) into the full three points, finishing with 2.57 xPts (Δ +0.43).
Ranking contextWas Morocco 4–2 Haiti a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Haiti entered 47th of 48 in the World Cup field; Morocco entered 7th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 3.76–1.22.
Score4–2
Expected goals (xG)Morocco 3.76 · Haiti 1.22
Expected points (xPts)Morocco 2.57 · Haiti 0.33
StageGroup C
Published FIFA rankMorocco FIFA #7 (7th of 48) · Haiti FIFA #83 (47th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Morocco vs Haiti?

Morocco created the better chances — 3.76–1.22 xG, an edge of 2.54. And Morocco duly won 4–2, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Morocco earned 2.57 and Haiti 0.33 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.43 for Morocco, -0.33 for Haiti).

Was Morocco lucky or unlucky?

Morocco were about on script in attack — 4 from 3.76 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 1.22 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ +0.43).

Was Haiti lucky or unlucky?

Haiti were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 1.22 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (4 from 3.76 xGA). A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.33).

What Morocco 4–2 Haiti means for Group C

Morocco sit 2nd in Group C on 7 points (5.75 xPts, Δ +1.25); Haiti sit 4th on 0 points (2.01 xPts, Δ -2.01). See the full Group C table →

24 June xG recap · Morocco · Haiti · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results