Czechia 0–3 Mexico

The xG verdict

Mexico backed up their xG edge (1.74–0.53 xG), winning 0–3.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Czechia vs Mexico?
Mexico won 3–0. The xG was Czechia 0.53, Mexico 1.74.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Czechia vs Mexico?
Mexico had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.74–0.53 and winning 3–0.
Fair resultWas Czechia 0–3 Mexico fair by xG?
Yes. Mexico won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Mexico turned a clear xG edge (1.74–0.53) into the full three points, finishing with 2.23 xPts (Δ +0.77).
Ranking contextWas Czechia 0–3 Mexico a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Czechia entered 32nd of 48 in the World Cup field; Mexico entered 13th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.74–0.53.
Score0–3
Expected goals (xG)Czechia 0.53 · Mexico 1.74
Expected points (xPts)Czechia 0.55 · Mexico 2.23
StageGroup A
Published FIFA rankCzechia FIFA #40 (32nd of 48) · Mexico FIFA #14 (13th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Czechia vs Mexico?

Mexico created the better chances — 1.74–0.53 xG, an edge of 1.21. And Mexico duly won 3–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Czechia earned 0.55 and Mexico 2.23 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -0.55 for Czechia, +0.77 for Mexico).

Was Czechia lucky or unlucky?

Czechia were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 0.53 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 3 from only 1.74 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.55).

Was Mexico lucky or unlucky?

Mexico were clinical in front of goal — 3 goals from 1.74 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 0.53 xGA faced. A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.77).

What Czechia 0–3 Mexico means for Group A

Czechia sit 4th in Group A on 1 point (2.18 xPts, Δ -1.18); Mexico sit 1st on 9 points (5.68 xPts, Δ +3.32). See the full Group A table →

24 June xG recap · Czechia · Mexico · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results