Haiti 0–1 Scotland
Scotland edged a balanced game 0–1 (1.05–1.05 xG).
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Haiti vs Scotland?
- Scotland won 1–0. The xG was Haiti 1.05, Scotland 1.05.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Haiti vs Scotland?
- The xG was close to level (Haiti 1.05, Scotland 1.05), so Scotland's 1–0 win was narrow rather than a major points-vs-xPts swing.
- Fair resultWas Haiti 0–1 Scotland fair by xG?
- Mostly. The winner was not clearly ahead on xG, but the chance gap was small enough that this was a close result rather than a robbery.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Scotland took 3 points from 1.35 xPts (Δ +1.65), the biggest points-vs-chances swing in the match.
- Ranking contextWas Haiti 0–1 Scotland a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. Haiti entered 47th of 48 in the World Cup field; Scotland entered 34th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.05–1.05.
| Score | 0–1 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Haiti 1.05 · Scotland 1.05 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Haiti 1.35 · Scotland 1.35 |
| Stage | Group C |
| Published FIFA rank | Haiti FIFA #83 (47th of 48) · Scotland FIFA #42 (34th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Haiti vs Scotland?
By expected goals, Haiti vs Scotland was a near-even contest — Haiti 1.05 xG, Scotland 1.05. Scotland took the points 1–0, but the underlying chances were close to level. In expected points, Haiti earned 1.35 and Scotland 1.35 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -1.35 for Haiti, +1.65 for Scotland).
Was Haiti lucky or unlucky?
Haiti were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 1.05 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.05 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -1.35).
Was Scotland lucky or unlucky?
Scotland were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.05 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 1.05 xGA faced. A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +1.65).
What Haiti 0–1 Scotland means for Group C
Haiti sit 4th in Group C on 0 points (2.01 xPts, Δ -2.01); Scotland sit 3rd on 3 points (2.44 xPts, Δ +0.56). See the full Group C table →
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