Scotland 0–1 Morocco

The xG verdict

Morocco edged a balanced game 0–1 (0.51–0.99 xG).

Quick answers

ResultWho won Scotland vs Morocco?
Morocco won 1–0. The xG was Scotland 0.51, Morocco 0.99.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Scotland vs Morocco?
Morocco had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 0.99–0.51 and winning 1–0.
Fair resultWas Scotland 0–1 Morocco fair by xG?
Yes. Morocco won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Morocco turned a clear xG edge (0.99–0.51) into the full three points, finishing with 1.74 xPts (Δ +1.26).
Ranking contextWas Scotland 0–1 Morocco a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Scotland entered 34th of 48 in the World Cup field; Morocco entered 7th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 0.99–0.51.
Score0–1
Expected goals (xG)Scotland 0.51 · Morocco 0.99
Expected points (xPts)Scotland 0.91 · Morocco 1.74
StageGroup C
Published FIFA rankScotland FIFA #42 (34th of 48) · Morocco FIFA #7 (7th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Scotland vs Morocco?

Morocco created the better chances — 0.99–0.51 xG, an edge of 0.48. And Morocco duly won 1–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Scotland earned 0.91 and Morocco 1.74 from this game; the actual return was 0 and 3 (Δ -0.91 for Scotland, +1.26 for Morocco).

Was Scotland lucky or unlucky?

Scotland were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 0.51 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.99 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.91).

Was Morocco lucky or unlucky?

Morocco were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.99 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 0.51 xGA faced. A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +1.26).

What Scotland 0–1 Morocco means for Group C

Scotland sit 3rd in Group C on 3 points (2.44 xPts, Δ +0.56); Morocco sit 2nd on 7 points (5.75 xPts, Δ +1.25). See the full Group C table →

19 June xG recap · Scotland · Morocco · xG robberies · stat leaders · ← All results