Ecuador 0–0 Curacao

The xG verdict

Ecuador created far more (2.84–0.50 xG) but were held to a 0–0 draw.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Ecuador vs Curacao?
It finished 0–0, so there was no scoreboard winner. The xG was Ecuador 2.84, Curacao 0.50.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Ecuador vs Curacao?
Ecuador created the better chances (2.84–0.50 xG), but the match finished 0–0.
Fair resultWas Ecuador 0–0 Curacao fair by xG?
Not fully. Ecuador had the better xG profile, but only took one point.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Ecuador took only 1 point from 2.66 xPts (Δ -1.66), leaving the most on the table by xG.
Ranking contextWas Ecuador 0–0 Curacao a published FIFA ranking upset?
Partly on the result, not by xG. Curacao entered 46th of 48 in the World Cup field; Ecuador entered 21st of 48. The match was drawn, but xG favored the higher-ranked side 2.84–0.50.
Match story

Ecuador out-chanced Curacao by a distance — and still drew 0–0: Ecuador piled up the chances and Curacao held firm. By expected goals this was one of the most lopsided stalemates of the group stage — a result that flatters Curacao far more than the run of play did.

Score0–0
Expected goals (xG)Ecuador 2.84 · Curacao 0.50
Expected points (xPts)Ecuador 2.66 · Curacao 0.23
StageGroup E
Published FIFA rankEcuador FIFA #23 (21st of 48) · Curacao FIFA #82 (46th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Ecuador vs Curacao?

Ecuador created the better chances — 2.84–0.50 xG, an edge of 2.34. But it finished 0–0, Ecuador unable to convert the better chances. In expected points, Ecuador earned 2.66 and Curacao 0.23 from this game; the actual return was 1 and 1 (Δ -1.66 for Ecuador, +0.77 for Curacao).

Was Ecuador lucky or unlucky?

Ecuador were wasteful in front of goal — just 0 from 2.84 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.50 xGA). On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -1.66).

Was Curacao lucky or unlucky?

Curacao were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.50 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 0 from 2.84 xGA faced. On balance a fortunate return — more than the chances merited (Δ +0.77).

What Ecuador 0–0 Curacao means for Group E

Ecuador sit 3rd in Group E on 4 points (5.51 xPts, Δ -1.51); Curacao sit 4th on 1 point (1.01 xPts, Δ -0.01). See the full Group E table →

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