Netherlands 2–2 Japan
An even contest (0.78–0.59 xG) finished 2–2.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Netherlands vs Japan?
- It finished 2–2, so there was no scoreboard winner. The xG was Netherlands 0.78, Japan 0.59.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Netherlands vs Japan?
- The draw was a fair xG outcome: Netherlands 0.78 xG, Japan 0.59.
- Fair resultWas Netherlands 2–2 Japan fair by xG?
- Yes. The scoreline and xG both point to an even match.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Netherlands took only 1 point from 1.48 xPts (Δ -0.48), leaving the most on the table by xG.
- Ranking contextWas Netherlands 2–2 Japan a published FIFA ranking upset?
- Partly on the result, not by xG. Japan entered 17th of 48 in the World Cup field; Netherlands entered 8th of 48. The match was drawn, but xG favored the higher-ranked side 0.78–0.59.
| Score | 2–2 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Netherlands 0.78 · Japan 0.59 |
| Expected points (xPts) | Netherlands 1.48 · Japan 1.13 |
| Stage | Group F |
| Published FIFA rank | Netherlands FIFA #8 (8th of 48) · Japan FIFA #18 (17th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Netherlands vs Japan?
By expected goals, Netherlands vs Japan was a near-even contest — Netherlands 0.78 xG, Japan 0.59. The 2–2 draw is roughly what the balance of chances deserved. In expected points, Netherlands earned 1.48 and Japan 1.13 from this game; the actual return was 1 and 1 (Δ -0.48 for Netherlands, -0.13 for Japan).
Was Netherlands lucky or unlucky?
Netherlands were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 0.78 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 0.59 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.48).
Was Japan lucky or unlucky?
Japan were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 0.59 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 0.78 xGA faced. A fair return for the performance (Δ -0.13).
What Netherlands 2–2 Japan means for Group F
Netherlands sit 1st in Group F on 7 points (6.01 xPts, Δ +0.99); Japan sit 2nd on 5 points (5.67 xPts, Δ -0.67). See the full Group F table →
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