Argentina 3–2 Egypt
Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.90–0.89 xG), winning 3–2.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Argentina vs Egypt?
- Argentina won 3–2 and advanced. The xG was Argentina 2.90, Egypt 0.89.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Argentina vs Egypt?
- Argentina had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.90–0.89 and winning 3–2.
- Fair resultWas Argentina 3–2 Egypt fair by xG?
- Yes. Argentina won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Argentina advanced with the stronger chance profile (2.90–0.89 xG). Match xPts: Argentina 2.48, Egypt 0.39. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
- Ranking contextWas Argentina 3–2 Egypt a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. Egypt entered 26th of 48 in the World Cup field; Argentina entered 1st of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 2.90–0.89.
| Score | 3–2 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Argentina 2.90 · Egypt 0.89 |
| Match xPts | Argentina 2.48 · Egypt 0.39 |
| Stage | Knockout stage |
| Published FIFA rank | Argentina FIFA #1 (1st of 48) · Egypt FIFA #29 (26th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Argentina vs Egypt?
Argentina created the better chances — 2.90–0.89 xG, an edge of 2.01. And Argentina duly won 3–2, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were Argentina 2.48 and Egypt 0.39; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.
Was Argentina lucky or unlucky?
Argentina were about on script in attack — 3 from 2.90 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 2 from only 0.89 xGA faced. They advanced with the stronger chance profile.
Was Egypt lucky or unlucky?
Egypt were clinical in front of goal — 2 goals from 0.89 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (3 from 2.90 xGA). Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.
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