World Cup 2026 Round of 16 · Match 95 · latest available post-match xG updated 18 August 2026, 13:37 ET

Argentina 3–2 Egypt xG: World Cup 2026 Round of 16 result

Match 95 has a post-match xG result: Argentina 3–2 Egypt. This page leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context only.

Round of 16 result

Argentina advanced from Match 95

Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.84–0.89 xG), winning 3–2.

Score
3-2
xG
2.84-0.89
Match xPts
2.46-0.40

Full match page: Argentina 3–2 Egypt

xG verdict

Did Argentina deserve to beat Egypt by xG?

Yes. Argentina advanced 3-2 and also led the match xG 2.84-0.89. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.

Quick answers

Who won Argentina vs Egypt at the World Cup 2026?
Argentina beat Egypt in Match 95 and advanced from the Round of 16. The score was Argentina 3–2 Egypt; the xG was Argentina 2.84 · Egypt 0.89.
Did Argentina deserve to beat Egypt by xG?
Yes. Argentina advanced 3-2 and also led the match xG 2.84-0.89. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.
What was the xG in Argentina vs Egypt?
Argentina 2.84 · Egypt 0.89. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Argentina 2.46 and Egypt 0.40.

Path so far

Tournament xG form

Match 95

Argentina

winner of Match 86

Total xGF
14.60
Total xGA
6.26
Total xGD
+8.34
Group xPts
6.88
Group Δ
+2.12
KO xG
8.85-4.65

Argentina reached this round through Spain 1–0 Argentina, with 0.22-2.29 xG against Spain.

Match 95

Egypt

winner of Match 88

Total xGF
6.00
Total xGA
8.24
Total xGD
-2.24
Group xPts
3.63
Group Δ
+1.37
KO xG
2.21-3.68

Egypt reached this round through Australia 1–1 (2–4 pens) Egypt, with 1.32-0.84 xG against Australia.

How they got here

Argentina reached this slot as winner of Match 86. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 14.60, xGA 6.26, xGD +8.34; the group-stage baseline was 9 group points, 6.88 group-stage xPts, xGF 5.75, xGA 1.61, points-vs-xPts Δ +2.12.

Egypt reached this slot as winner of Match 88. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 6.00, xGA 8.24, xGD -2.24; the group-stage baseline was 5 group points, 3.63 group-stage xPts, xGF 3.79, xGA 4.56, points-vs-xPts Δ +1.37.

The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Argentina team page · Egypt team page.