Who won Australia vs Egypt at the World Cup 2026?

Egypt advanced on penalties against Australia in Match 88. The score was Australia 1–1 (2–4 pens) Egypt; the xG was Australia 0.84 · Egypt 1.32.

What was the xG in Australia vs Egypt?

Australia 0.84 · Egypt 1.32. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Australia 1.00 and Egypt 1.72.

World Cup 2026 Round of 32 · Match 88 · latest available post-match xG updated 18 August 2026, 13:37 ET

Australia 1–1 (2–4 pens) Egypt xG: World Cup 2026 Round of 32 result

Match 88 has a post-match xG result: Australia 1–1 (2–4 pens) Egypt. The page now leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context, with the original group-stage form kept below.

Round of 32 result

Egypt advanced from Match 88

Egypt advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 1–1 (2–4 pens) (0.84–1.32 xG).

Score: 1–1 (2–4 pens)
xG: 0.84–1.32
Match xPts: 1.00–1.72

Full match page: Australia 1–1 (2–4 pens) Egypt

xG verdict

Did Egypt deserve to beat Australia by xG?

Yes. Egypt advanced 1–1 (4–2 pens) and also led the match xG 1.32–0.84. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.

Quick answers

Who won Australia vs Egypt at the World Cup 2026?: Egypt advanced on penalties against Australia in Match 88. The score was Australia 1–1 (2–4 pens) Egypt; the xG was Australia 0.84 · Egypt 1.32.
Did Egypt deserve to beat Australia by xG?: Yes. Egypt advanced 1–1 (4–2 pens) and also led the match xG 1.32–0.84. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.
What was the xG in Australia vs Egypt?: Australia 0.84 · Egypt 1.32. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Australia 1.00 and Egypt 1.72.
Was Australia 1–1 (2–4 pens) Egypt fair by xG?: Egypt advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 1–1 (2–4 pens) (0.84–1.32 xG).

Group-stage xG form

Match 88

Australia

second in Group D

Pts: 4
xPts: 3.52
Δ: +0.48
xGF: 2.08
xGA: 2.68
xGD: -0.60

Match 88

Egypt

second in Group G

Pts: 5
xPts: 3.63
Δ: +1.37
xGF: 3.79
xGA: 4.56
xGD: -0.77

How they got here

Australia reached this slot as second in Group D with 4 pts, 3.52 xPts, xGF 2.08, xGA 2.68, Δ +0.48. Egypt reached this slot as second in Group G with 5 pts, 3.63 xPts, xGF 3.79, xGA 4.56, Δ +1.37.

The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the group-stage form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Australia team page · Egypt team page.