Australia 1–1 (2–4 pens) Egypt
Egypt advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 1–1 (2–4 pens) (0.87–1.36 xG).
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Australia vs Egypt?
- Egypt advanced on penalties after 1–1 (2–4 pens). The xG was Australia 0.87, Egypt 1.36.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Australia vs Egypt?
- Egypt had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.36–0.87 and winning 1–1 (4–2 pens).
- Fair resultWas Australia 1–1 (2–4 pens) Egypt fair by xG?
- Yes. Egypt won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Egypt advanced with the stronger chance profile (1.36–0.87 xG). Match xPts: Australia 1.00, Egypt 1.72. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
| Score | 1–1 (2–4 pens) |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Australia 0.87 · Egypt 1.36 |
| Match xPts | Australia 1.00 · Egypt 1.72 |
| Stage | Knockout stage |
| Published FIFA rank | Australia FIFA #27 (24th of 48) · Egypt FIFA #29 (26th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Australia vs Egypt?
Egypt created the better chances — 1.36–0.87 xG, an edge of 0.49. And Egypt advanced on penalties after 1–1 (2–4 pens), with the chance profile pointing the same way. Match xPts were Australia 1.00 and Egypt 1.72; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.
Was Australia lucky or unlucky?
Australia were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.87 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.36 xGA). Their elimination on penalties matched the weaker chance profile.
Was Egypt lucky or unlucky?
Egypt were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.36 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.87 xGA). They advanced on penalties with the stronger chance profile.
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