How lucky or unlucky were Argentina in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 9 points from 6.88 xPts (points luck +2.12) and 1 goal conceded from 1.61 xGA (defensive luck +0.61). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Argentina's group-stage luck built game by game.

Where did Argentina finish in Group J?

Argentina finished first in Group J with 9 points from 6.88 group-stage xPts (Δ +2.12).

What are Argentina's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

Argentina have 5.75 group-stage xGF and 1.61 group-stage xGA, plus 8.85 knockout xGF and 4.65 knockout xGA. Total: 14.60 xGF, 6.26 xGA.

What was Argentina's best xG match?

Argentina's highest-xGF match was 3–2 vs Egypt: 2.84 xG for and 0.89 xG against.

Argentina at the 2026 World Cup

Eliminated

Argentina are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 104 against Spain. Spain 1–0 Argentina; Spain 2.29–0.22 Argentina xG.

Argentina have 9 points from 6.88 xPts, with group-stage results running ahead of the chances.

Next for Argentina

Knockout result

Argentina vs Spain

Match 104 (Final) result page with score, match xG and advancement context.

Latest xG match

0–1 vs Spain

Knockout stage · xG 0.22-2.29 · eliminated

Group table

Group J finish

9 points from 6.88 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

EliminatedAre Argentina eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Argentina are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 104 against Spain. Spain 1–0 Argentina; Spain 2.29–0.22 Argentina xG.
Riding their luckHow lucky or unlucky were Argentina in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 9 points from 6.88 xPts (points luck +2.12) and 1 goal conceded from 1.61 xGA (defensive luck +0.61). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Argentina's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Argentina finish in Group J?: Argentina finished first in Group J with 9 points from 6.88 group-stage xPts (Δ +2.12).
xG by stageWhat are Argentina's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: Argentina have 5.75 group-stage xGF and 1.61 group-stage xGA, plus 8.85 knockout xGF and 4.65 knockout xGA. Total: 14.60 xGF, 6.26 xGA.
Best xG matchWhat was Argentina's best xG match?: Argentina's highest-xGF match was 3–2 vs Egypt: 2.84 xG for and 0.89 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	8–1	5.75 / 1.61	+4.14	6.88	Official group-table scope
Knockout	5	11–7	8.85 / 4.65	+4.20	9.68	Match xPts is chance context only
Total	8	19–8	14.60 / 6.26	+8.34	16.56	All completed xG-backed matches

Knockout status

EliminatedAre Argentina eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Argentina are eliminated from the World Cup 2026 after Match 104 against Spain. Spain 1–0 Argentina; Spain 2.29–0.22 Argentina xG. Argentina vs Spain xG guide/result.

Knockout receipts

3-2 vs Cape VerdeKnockout stage · xG 2.26-0.47 · match xPts 2.50 · advanced
3-2 vs EgyptKnockout stage · xG 2.84-0.89 · match xPts 2.46 · advanced
3-1 vs SwitzerlandKnockout stage · xG 1.94-0.47 · match xPts 2.37 · advanced
2-1 vs EnglandKnockout stage · xG 1.59-0.53 · match xPts 2.15 · advanced
0-1 vs SpainKnockout stage · xG 0.22-2.29 · match xPts 0.20 · eliminated

Group-stage match receipts

3-0 vs AlgeriaxG 1.26-0.32 · xPts 2.12 · Δ +0.88
2-0 vs AustriaxG 2.36-0.53 · xPts 2.50 · Δ +0.50
3-1 vs JordanxG 2.13-0.76 · xPts 2.26 · Δ +0.74

Schedule context

Argentina are +4.14 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 30.7/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #41.7 globally; led xG against a lighter opponent field.

Group	Group J · 1st in group
Knockout status	Eliminated Out after Match 104 vs Spain
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #2 · 2nd of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 30.7 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #41.7 · led xG against a lighter opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 3W 0D 0L
Group-stage points	9
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	6.88
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	+2.12
Group-stage goals for / against	8 / 1
Group-stage xG for / against	5.75 / 1.61
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	+2.25
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	+0.61

Where Argentina sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where Argentina sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are clinical but leaky.

See Argentina on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

Argentina 2–0 Austria

Argentina had their strongest chance profile against Austria, winning the xG battle 2.36–0.53.

Most fortunate result

Argentina vs Algeria

Argentina took 3 points from 2.12 xPts (Δ +0.88).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
16 June	v Algeria	3–0	1.26–0.32	2.12	+0.88
22 June	v Austria	2–0	2.36–0.53	2.50	+0.50
27 June	@ Jordan	3–1	2.13–0.76	2.26	+0.74

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Argentina took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

Knockout match by match

Date	Match	Score	Knockout xG	Match xPts	Verdict
3 July	v Cape Verde	3–2	2.26–0.47	2.50	Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.26–0.47 xG), winning 3–2.
7 July	v Egypt	3–2	2.84–0.89	2.46	Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.84–0.89 xG), winning 3–2.
11 July	v Switzerland	3–1	1.94–0.47	2.37	Argentina advanced with an xG edge (1.94–0.47 xG), winning 3–1.
15 July	@ England	2–1	1.59–0.53	2.15	Argentina advanced with an xG edge (1.59–0.53 xG), winning 1–2.
19 July	@ Spain	0–1	0.22–2.29	0.20	Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.29–0.22 xG), winning 1–0.

Knockout rows are not added to group points or group-stage xPts. The score decides advancement; match xPts is chance-profile context.

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