How lucky or unlucky were Argentina in the World Cup 2026 group stage?

Group-stage totals: 9 points from 6.88 xPts (points luck +2.12) and 1 goal conceded from 1.61 xGA (defensive luck +0.61). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Argentina's group-stage luck built game by game.

Where did Argentina finish in Group J?

Argentina finished first in Group J with 9 points from 6.88 group-stage xPts (Δ +2.12).

What are Argentina's group, knockout and total xG numbers?

Argentina have 5.75 group-stage xGF and 1.61 group-stage xGA, plus 8.85 knockout xGF and 4.65 knockout xGA. Total: 14.60 xGF, 6.26 xGA.

What was Argentina's best xG match?

Argentina's highest-xGF match was 3–2 vs Egypt: 2.84 xG for and 0.89 xG against.

Argentina at the 2026 World Cup

Eliminated

Argentina advanced from Match 100 against Switzerland. Argentina 3–1 Switzerland; Argentina 1.94–0.47 Switzerland xG.

Argentina have 9 points from 6.88 xPts, with group-stage results running ahead of the chances.

Next for Argentina

Knockout result

Argentina vs Switzerland

Match 100 (Quarter-final) result page with score, match xG and advancement context.

Latest xG match

0–1 vs Spain

Knockout stage · xG 0.22-2.29 · eliminated

Group table

Group J finish

9 points from 6.88 group-stage xPts. Official group rank decides qualification.

Results

All scores with xG

Every finished match, scoreline, match xG and one-line verdict.

Quick answers

EliminatedAre Argentina eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Argentina advanced from Match 100 against Switzerland. Argentina 3–1 Switzerland; Argentina 1.94–0.47 Switzerland xG.
Riding their luckHow lucky or unlucky were Argentina in the World Cup 2026 group stage?: Group-stage totals: 9 points from 6.88 xPts (points luck +2.12) and 1 goal conceded from 1.61 xGA (defensive luck +0.61). The group-stage match-by-match xG table below shows how Argentina's group-stage luck built game by game.
Group finishWhere did Argentina finish in Group J?: Argentina finished first in Group J with 9 points from 6.88 group-stage xPts (Δ +2.12).
xG by stageWhat are Argentina's group, knockout and total xG numbers?: Argentina have 5.75 group-stage xGF and 1.61 group-stage xGA, plus 8.85 knockout xGF and 4.65 knockout xGA. Total: 14.60 xGF, 6.26 xGA.
Best xG matchWhat was Argentina's best xG match?: Argentina's highest-xGF match was 3–2 vs Egypt: 2.84 xG for and 0.89 xG against.

xG by stage

Stage	Matches	Goals	xGF / xGA	xGD	xPts	Scope
Group stage	3	8–1	5.75 / 1.61	+4.14	6.88	Official group-table scope
Knockout	5	11–7	8.85 / 4.65	+4.20	9.68	Match xPts is chance context only
Total	8	19–8	14.60 / 6.26	+8.34	16.56	All completed xG-backed matches

Knockout status

EliminatedAre Argentina eliminated from the World Cup 2026?: Argentina advanced from Match 100 against Switzerland. Argentina 3–1 Switzerland; Argentina 1.94–0.47 Switzerland xG. Argentina vs Switzerland xG guide/result.

Knockout receipts

3-2 vs Cape VerdeKnockout stage · xG 2.26-0.47 · match xPts 2.50 · advanced
3-2 vs EgyptKnockout stage · xG 2.84-0.89 · match xPts 2.46 · advanced
3-1 vs SwitzerlandKnockout stage · xG 1.94-0.47 · match xPts 2.37 · advanced
2-1 vs EnglandKnockout stage · xG 1.59-0.53 · match xPts 2.15 · advanced
0-1 vs SpainKnockout stage · xG 0.22-2.29 · match xPts 0.20 · eliminated

Group-stage match receipts

3-0 vs AlgeriaxG 1.26-0.32 · xPts 2.12 · Δ +0.88
2-0 vs AustriaxG 2.36-0.53 · xPts 2.50 · Δ +0.50
3-1 vs JordanxG 2.13-0.76 · xPts 2.26 · Δ +0.74

Schedule context

Argentina are +4.14 xGD through 3 xG matches against opponents averaging 30.3/48 in the World Cup field and FIFA #40.7 globally; led xG against a lighter opponent field.

Group	Group J · 1st in group
Knockout status	Eliminated Out after Match 100 vs Switzerland
Published FIFA rank	FIFA #2 · 2nd of 48 World Cup teams
xG vs schedule	Avg opponent field rank 30.3 / 48 · Avg opponent FIFA #40.7 · led xG against a lighter opponent field
Group-stage played / record	3 · 3W 0D 0L
Group-stage points	9
Group-stage expected points (xPts)	6.88
Group-stage Δ (Points − xPts)	+2.12
Group-stage goals for / against	8 / 1
Group-stage xG for / against	5.75 / 1.61
Group-stage finishing (Goals − xG)	+2.25
Group-stage defensive luck (xGA − GA)	+0.61

Where Argentina sit on the total xG luck quadrant

Where Argentina sit across all xG-backed matches so far — finishing luck (goals − xG) across, defensive luck (xGA − goals conceded) up; the crosshair is zero, exactly as the chances suggest. On the balance of play they are clinical but leaky.

See Argentina on the full interactive luck quadrant →

Best and worst group-stage xG matches

Best xG performance

Argentina 2–0 Austria

Argentina had their strongest chance profile against Austria, winning the xG battle 2.36–0.53.

Most fortunate result

Argentina vs Algeria

Argentina took 3 points from 2.12 xPts (Δ +0.88).

Group-stage match by match

Group-stage match-by-match luck — points taken minus expected points (xPts) each game. Green = took more than the chances deserved, red = deserved more.

Date	Match	Score	Group xG	xPts	Δ
16 June	v Algeria	3–0	1.26–0.32	2.12	+0.88
22 June	v Austria	2–0	2.36–0.53	2.50	+0.50
27 June	@ Jordan	3–1	2.13–0.76	2.26	+0.74

Δ here is per group-stage match: the points Argentina took that game minus their expected points (xPts) for it. Negative = robbed, positive = fortunate.

Knockout match by match

Date	Match	Score	Knockout xG	Match xPts	Verdict
3 July	v Cape Verde	3–2	2.26–0.47	2.50	Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.26–0.47 xG), winning 3–2.
7 July	v Egypt	3–2	2.84–0.89	2.46	Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.84–0.89 xG), winning 3–2.
11 July	v Switzerland	3–1	1.94–0.47	2.37	Argentina advanced with an xG edge (1.94–0.47 xG), winning 3–1.
15 July	@ England	2–1	1.59–0.53	2.15	Argentina advanced with an xG edge (1.59–0.53 xG), winning 1–2.
19 July	@ Spain	0–1	0.22–2.29	0.20	Spain advanced with an xG edge (2.29–0.22 xG), winning 1–0.

Knockout rows are not added to group points or group-stage xPts. The score decides advancement; match xPts is chance-profile context.

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