Argentina 3–0 Algeria

The xG verdict

Argentina backed up their xG edge (1.26–0.32 xG), winning 3–0.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Argentina vs Algeria?
Argentina won 3–0. The xG was Argentina 1.26, Algeria 0.32.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Argentina vs Algeria?
Argentina had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.26–0.32 and winning 3–0.
Fair resultWas Argentina 3–0 Algeria fair by xG?
Yes. Argentina won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
Argentina turned a clear xG edge (1.26–0.32) into the full three points, finishing with 2.12 xPts (Δ +0.88).
Ranking contextWas Argentina 3–0 Algeria a published FIFA ranking upset?
No. Algeria entered 25th of 48 in the World Cup field; Argentina entered 1st of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 1.26–0.32.
Score3–0
Expected goals (xG)Argentina 1.26 · Algeria 0.32
Expected points (xPts)Argentina 2.12 · Algeria 0.58
StageGroup J
Published FIFA rankArgentina FIFA #1 (1st of 48) · Algeria FIFA #28 (25th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Argentina vs Algeria?

Argentina created the better chances — 1.26–0.32 xG, an edge of 0.94. And Argentina duly won 3–0, the result matching the run of chances. In expected points, Argentina earned 2.12 and Algeria 0.58 from this game; the actual return was 3 and 0 (Δ +0.88 for Argentina, -0.58 for Algeria).

Was Argentina lucky or unlucky?

Argentina were clinical in front of goal — 3 goals from 1.26 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (0 from 0.32 xGA). A result backed by the stronger chance profile on the day (Δ +0.88).

Was Algeria lucky or unlucky?

Algeria were about on script in attack — 0 from 0.32 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 3 from only 1.26 xGA faced. On balance their result return trailed the chances (Δ -0.58).

What Argentina 3–0 Algeria means for Group J

Argentina sit 1st in Group J on 9 points (6.88 xPts, Δ +2.12); Algeria sit 3rd on 4 points (4.31 xPts, Δ -0.31). See the full Group J table →

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