xG 0.53 – 1.84 · xPts 0.51 – 2.28 · Knockout stage
Argentina advanced with an xG edge (1.84–0.53 xG), winning 1–2.
Latest available post-match xG · updated 15 July 2026, 17:58 ET · 1 match, 3 goals, 2.37 total xG. Not live.
The only World Cup 2026 game on 15 July was England 1–2 Argentina. Argentina advanced with an xG edge (1.84–0.53 xG), winning 1–2.
Argentina advanced with an xG edge (1.84–0.53 xG), winning 1–2.
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Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.