xG 0.68 – 1.04 · xPts 1.04 – 1.63 · Knockout stage
England advanced from a balanced knockout game 1–2 (0.68–1.04 xG).
World Cup 2026 xG recap: 11 July
Latest available post-match xG · updated 23 August 2026, 09:57 ET · 2 matches, 7 goals, 4.13 total xG. Not live.
The 11 July results ran true to the chances — few surprises, little theft. Every match below with its xG.
Every 11 July match
xG 1.94 – 0.47 · xPts 2.37 – 0.43 · Knockout stage
Argentina advanced with an xG edge (1.94–0.47 xG), winning 3–1.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.