xG 0.77 – 0.96 · xPts 1.17 – 1.49 · Knockout stage
England advanced from a balanced knockout game 1–2 (0.77–0.96 xG).
Latest available post-match xG · updated 11 July 2026, 21:04 ET · 1 match, 3 goals, 1.73 total xG. Not live.
The only World Cup 2026 game on 11 July was Norway 1–2 England. England advanced from a balanced knockout game 1–2 (0.77–0.96 xG).
England advanced from a balanced knockout game 1–2 (0.77–0.96 xG).
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Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.