xG 1.96 – 0.34 · xPts 2.48 – 0.34 · Knockout stage
Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.96–0.34 xG), winning 2–1.
Latest available post-match xG · updated 10 July 2026, 20:57 ET · 1 match, 3 goals, 2.30 total xG. Not live.
The only World Cup 2026 game on 10 July was Spain 2–1 Belgium. Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.96–0.34 xG), winning 2–1.
Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.96–0.34 xG), winning 2–1.
More: all daily recaps · all results · standings & expected points · unluckiest teams · the xG visualizer
Luck is measured per match: actual points minus expected points (xPts), an independent Poisson model on public post-match xG. Figures may differ from other public xG sources. Directional, not official — especially early in the tournament.