Spain 2–1 Belgium
Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.96–0.34 xG), winning 2–1.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Spain vs Belgium?
- Spain won 2–1 and advanced. The xG was Spain 1.96, Belgium 0.34.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Spain vs Belgium?
- Spain had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.96–0.34 and winning 2–1.
- Fair resultWas Spain 2–1 Belgium fair by xG?
- Yes. Spain won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Spain advanced with the stronger chance profile (1.96–0.34 xG). Match xPts: Spain 2.48, Belgium 0.34. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
| Score | 2–1 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Spain 1.96 · Belgium 0.34 |
| Match xPts | Spain 2.48 · Belgium 0.34 |
| Stage | Knockout stage |
| Published FIFA rank | Spain FIFA #2 (2nd of 48) · Belgium FIFA #9 (9th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Spain vs Belgium?
Spain created the better chances — 1.96–0.34 xG, an edge of 1.62. And Spain duly won 2–1, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were Spain 2.48 and Belgium 0.34; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.
Was Spain lucky or unlucky?
Spain were about on script in attack — 2 from 1.96 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 1 from only 0.34 xGA faced. They advanced with the stronger chance profile.
Was Belgium lucky or unlucky?
Belgium were clinical in front of goal — 1 goal from 0.34 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (2 from 1.96 xGA). Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.
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