World Cup 2026 quarter-final · Match 98 · latest available post-match xG updated 7 July 2026, 01:45 ET

Spain vs Belgium World Cup 2026 quarter-final xG guide

Spain and Belgium are confirmed for Match 98. This guide compares total tournament xG and each team's knockout path so far. It is not a prediction.

Kicks off July 10, 3pm ET; the post-match xG verdict appears after published xG is available.

Quick answers

Who do Spain play next in the World Cup 2026 bracket?
Spain play Belgium in Match 98, a quarter-final tie. Spain advanced as winner of Match 93; Belgium advanced as winner of Match 94. Kicks off July 10, 3pm ET; the post-match xG verdict appears after published xG is available.
What is the Spain vs Belgium xG guide?
Spain: total tournament xGF 9.75, xGA 1.49, xGD +8.26; latest knockout receipt Spain reached this round through Portugal 0–1 Spain, with 1.69-0.63 xG against Portugal.. Belgium: total tournament xGF 10.53, xGA 6.15, xGD +4.38; latest knockout receipt Belgium reached this round through USA 1–4 Belgium, with 2.01-0.63 xG against USA.. This is retrospective form, not a prediction.
Is this a prediction?
No. This page compares completed xG-backed matches only: group-stage xG, prior knockout xG, total tournament xG and points-vs-xPts context. It does not forecast a winner or score.

Path so far

Tournament xG form

Match 98

Spain

winner of Match 93

Total xGF
9.75
Total xGA
1.49
Total xGD
+8.26
Group xPts
7.27
Group delta
-0.27
KO xG
4.49-0.95

Spain reached this round through Portugal 0–1 Spain, with 1.69-0.63 xG against Portugal.

Match 98

Belgium

winner of Match 94

Total xGF
10.53
Total xGA
6.15
Total xGD
+4.38
Group xPts
6.63
Group delta
-1.63
KO xG
3.75-4.21

Belgium reached this round through USA 1–4 Belgium, with 2.01-0.63 xG against USA.

How they got here

Spain reached this slot as winner of Match 93. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 9.75, xGA 1.49, xGD +8.26; the group-stage baseline was 7 group points, 7.27 group-stage xPts, xGF 5.26, xGA 0.54, points-vs-xPts delta -0.27.

Belgium reached this slot as winner of Match 94. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 10.53, xGA 6.15, xGD +4.38; the group-stage baseline was 5 group points, 6.63 group-stage xPts, xGF 6.78, xGA 1.94, points-vs-xPts delta -1.63.

The official bracket decides the matchup. These numbers describe completed xG-backed matches only: group-stage xG, prior knockout xG, and total tournament xG.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Round of 16 guides · Spain team page · Belgium team page.