World Cup 2026 quarter-final · Match 98 · latest available post-match xG updated 21 August 2026, 00:36 ET

Spain 2–1 Belgium xG: World Cup 2026 quarter-final result

Match 98 has a post-match xG result: Spain 2–1 Belgium. This page leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context only.

Quarter-final result

Spain advanced from Match 98

Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.96–0.34 xG), winning 2–1.

Score
2-1
xG
1.96-0.34
Match xPts
2.48-0.34

Full match page: Spain 2–1 Belgium

xG verdict

Did Spain deserve to beat Belgium by xG?

Yes. Spain advanced 2-1 and also led the match xG 1.96-0.34. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.

Quick answers

Who won Spain vs Belgium at the World Cup 2026?
Spain beat Belgium in Match 98 and advanced from the quarter-finals. The score was Spain 2–1 Belgium; the xG was Spain 1.96 · Belgium 0.34.
Did Spain deserve to beat Belgium by xG?
Yes. Spain advanced 2-1 and also led the match xG 1.96-0.34. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.
What was the xG in Spain vs Belgium?
Spain 1.96 · Belgium 0.34. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Spain 2.48 and Belgium 0.34.

Path so far

Tournament xG form

Match 98

Spain

winner of Match 93

Total xGF
15.63
Total xGA
2.36
Total xGD
+13.27
Group xPts
7.27
Group delta
-0.27
KO xG
10.37-1.82

Spain reached this round through Spain 1–0 Argentina, with 2.29-0.22 xG against Argentina.

Match 98

Belgium

winner of Match 94

Total xGF
10.87
Total xGA
8.11
Total xGD
+2.76
Group xPts
6.63
Group delta
-1.63
KO xG
4.09-6.17

Belgium reached this round through USA 1–4 Belgium, with 2.01-0.63 xG against USA.

How they got here

Spain reached this slot as winner of Match 93. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 15.63, xGA 2.36, xGD +13.27; the group-stage baseline was 7 group points, 7.27 group-stage xPts, xGF 5.26, xGA 0.54, points-vs-xPts delta -0.27.

Belgium reached this slot as winner of Match 94. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 10.87, xGA 8.11, xGD +2.76; the group-stage baseline was 5 group points, 6.63 group-stage xPts, xGF 6.78, xGA 1.94, points-vs-xPts delta -1.63.

The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Round of 16 guides · Spain team page · Belgium team page.