Mexico vs England
Mexico total xGF 6.66, xGA 3.87, xGD +2.79; England total xGF 11.14, xGA 8.63, xGD +2.51.
Total tournament xG, group-stage baseline and Round of 32 receipts. Not a prediction.
Latest available post-match xG · updated 18 August 2026, 13:37 ET. Not predictions.
Confirmed Round of 16 guide pages from the completed knockout bracket: total tournament xG, group-stage baseline, prior knockout receipts, and post-match xG verdicts once games finish.
Mexico total xGF 6.66, xGA 3.87, xGD +2.79; England total xGF 11.14, xGA 8.63, xGD +2.51.
Total tournament xG, group-stage baseline and Round of 32 receipts. Not a prediction.
Canada 0–3 Morocco. xG: Canada 0.84 · Morocco 0.82.
Morocco advanced from a balanced knockout game 0–3 (0.84–0.82 xG).
Paraguay 0–1 France. xG: Paraguay 0.13 · France 1.45.
France advanced with an xG edge (1.45–0.13 xG), winning 0–1.
Brazil 1–2 Norway. xG: Brazil 2.61 · Norway 1.05.
Brazil had the stronger chance profile (2.61–1.05 xG) but were knocked out 1–2; Norway advanced against the xG run.
Mexico 2–3 England. xG: Mexico 1.88 · England 1.61.
England advanced from a balanced knockout game 2–3 (1.88–1.61 xG).
Portugal 0–1 Spain. xG: Portugal 0.63 · Spain 1.69.
Spain advanced with an xG edge (1.69–0.63 xG), winning 0–1.
USA 1–4 Belgium. xG: USA 0.63 · Belgium 2.01.
Belgium advanced with an xG edge (2.01–0.63 xG), winning 1–4.
Argentina 3–2 Egypt. xG: Argentina 2.84 · Egypt 0.89.
Argentina advanced with an xG edge (2.84–0.89 xG), winning 3–2.
Switzerland 0–0 (4–3 pens) Colombia. xG: Switzerland 0.39 · Colombia 1.09.
Switzerland advanced on penalties after a balanced knockout game 0–0 (4–3 pens) (0.39–1.09 xG).
More context: full bracket · results and xG · knockout xG verdicts · Round of 32 guides.