Who won Netherlands vs Morocco at the World Cup 2026?

Morocco advanced on penalties against Netherlands in Match 75. The score was Netherlands 1–1 (2–3 pens) Morocco; the xG was Netherlands 0.24 · Morocco 1.38.

What was the xG in Netherlands vs Morocco?

Netherlands 0.24 · Morocco 1.38. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Netherlands 0.46 and Morocco 2.27.

World Cup 2026 Round of 32 · Match 75 · latest available post-match xG updated 2 July 2026, 02:56 ET

Netherlands 1–1 (2–3 pens) Morocco xG: World Cup 2026 Round of 32 result

Match 75 has a post-match xG result: Netherlands 1–1 (2–3 pens) Morocco. The page now leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context, with the original group-stage form kept below.

Round of 32 result

Morocco advanced from Match 75

Morocco created far more (1.38–0.24 xG), and Morocco advanced on penalties after 1–1 (2–3 pens).

Score: 1–1 (2–3 pens)
xG: 0.24–1.38
Match xPts: 0.46–2.27

Full match page: Netherlands 1–1 (2–3 pens) Morocco

xG verdict

Did Morocco deserve to beat Netherlands by xG?

Yes. Morocco advanced 1–1 (3–2 pens) and also led the match xG 1.38–0.24. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.

Shootout story

Morocco advanced on penalties with a 1.38-0.24 xG edge: After 1–1 (2–3 pens), Morocco had the stronger chance profile and won the shootout; Netherlands were held to 0.24 xG.

Quick answers

Who won Netherlands vs Morocco at the World Cup 2026?: Morocco advanced on penalties against Netherlands in Match 75. The score was Netherlands 1–1 (2–3 pens) Morocco; the xG was Netherlands 0.24 · Morocco 1.38.
Did Morocco deserve to beat Netherlands by xG?: Yes. Morocco advanced 1–1 (3–2 pens) and also led the match xG 1.38–0.24. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.
What was the xG in Netherlands vs Morocco?: Netherlands 0.24 · Morocco 1.38. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Netherlands 0.46 and Morocco 2.27.
Was Netherlands 1–1 (2–3 pens) Morocco fair by xG?: Morocco created far more (1.38–0.24 xG), and Morocco advanced on penalties after 1–1 (2–3 pens).

Group-stage xG form

Match 75

Netherlands

first in Group F

Pts: 7
xPts: 6.01
Δ: +0.99
xGF: 5.24
xGA: 2.22
xGD: +3.02

Match 75

Morocco

second in Group C

Pts: 7
xPts: 5.76
Δ: +1.24
xGF: 6.12
xGA: 2.99
xGD: +3.13

How they got here

Netherlands reached this slot as first in Group F with 7 pts, 6.01 xPts, xGF 5.24, xGA 2.22, Δ +0.99. Morocco reached this slot as second in Group C with 7 pts, 5.76 xPts, xGF 6.12, xGA 2.99, Δ +1.24.

The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the group-stage form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Netherlands team page · Morocco team page.