Netherlands 1–1 (2–3 pens) Morocco
Morocco created far more (1.38–0.24 xG), and Morocco advanced on penalties after 1–1 (2–3 pens).
Quick answers
- ResultWho won Netherlands vs Morocco?
- Morocco advanced on penalties after 1–1 (2–3 pens). The xG was Netherlands 0.24, Morocco 1.38.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in Netherlands vs Morocco?
- Morocco had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 1.38–0.24 and winning 1–1 (3–2 pens).
- Fair resultWas Netherlands 1–1 (2–3 pens) Morocco fair by xG?
- Yes. Morocco won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Morocco advanced with the stronger chance profile (1.38–0.24 xG). Match xPts: Netherlands 0.46, Morocco 2.27. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
Morocco advanced on penalties with a 1.38-0.24 xG edge: After 1–1 (2–3 pens), Morocco had the stronger chance profile and won the shootout; Netherlands were held to 0.24 xG.
| Score | 1–1 (2–3 pens) |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | Netherlands 0.24 · Morocco 1.38 |
| Match xPts | Netherlands 0.46 · Morocco 2.27 |
| Stage | Knockout stage |
| Published FIFA rank | Netherlands FIFA #8 (8th of 48) · Morocco FIFA #7 (7th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in Netherlands vs Morocco?
Morocco created the better chances — 1.38–0.24 xG, an edge of 1.14. And Morocco advanced on penalties after 1–1 (2–3 pens), with the chance profile pointing the same way. Match xPts were Netherlands 0.46 and Morocco 2.27; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.
Was Netherlands lucky or unlucky?
Netherlands were clinical in front of goal — 1 goal from 0.24 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 1.38 xGA). Their elimination on penalties matched the weaker chance profile.
Was Morocco lucky or unlucky?
Morocco were about on script in attack — 1 from 1.38 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 1 from only 0.24 xGA faced. They advanced on penalties with the stronger chance profile.
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