Who won Mexico vs Ecuador at the World Cup 2026?

Mexico beat Ecuador in Match 79 and advanced from the Round of 32. The score was Mexico 2–0 Ecuador; the xG was Mexico 1.05 · Ecuador 0.75.

What was the xG in Mexico vs Ecuador?

Mexico 1.05 · Ecuador 0.75. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Mexico 1.58 and Ecuador 1.09.

World Cup 2026 Round of 32 · Match 79 · latest available post-match xG updated 2 July 2026, 02:56 ET

Mexico 2–0 Ecuador xG: World Cup 2026 Round of 32 result

Match 79 has a post-match xG result: Mexico 2–0 Ecuador. The page now leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context, with the original group-stage form kept below.

Round of 32 result

Mexico advanced from Match 79

Mexico advanced from a balanced knockout game 2–0 (1.05–0.75 xG).

Score: 2–0
xG: 1.05–0.75
Match xPts: 1.58–1.09

Full match page: Mexico 2–0 Ecuador

xG verdict

Did Mexico deserve to beat Ecuador by xG?

Yes. Mexico advanced 2–0 and also led the match xG 1.05–0.75. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.

BREAKING:

Mexico are 8-0 on goals from 4.78-2.26 xG: After 2–0 against Ecuador, Mexico are finishing 3.22 above xG and have conceded 2.26 below xGA.

Quick answers

Who won Mexico vs Ecuador at the World Cup 2026?: Mexico beat Ecuador in Match 79 and advanced from the Round of 32. The score was Mexico 2–0 Ecuador; the xG was Mexico 1.05 · Ecuador 0.75.
Did Mexico deserve to beat Ecuador by xG?: Yes. Mexico advanced 2–0 and also led the match xG 1.05–0.75. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.
What was the xG in Mexico vs Ecuador?: Mexico 1.05 · Ecuador 0.75. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Mexico 1.58 and Ecuador 1.09.
Was Mexico 2–0 Ecuador fair by xG?: Mexico advanced from a balanced knockout game 2–0 (1.05–0.75 xG).

Group-stage xG form

Match 79

Mexico

first in Group A

Pts: 9
xPts: 5.68
Δ: +3.32
xGF: 3.73
xGA: 1.51
xGD: +2.22

Match 79

Ecuador

third in Group E

Pts: 4
xPts: 5.51
Δ: -1.51
xGF: 5.12
xGA: 2.67
xGD: +2.45

How they got here

Mexico reached this slot as first in Group A with 9 pts, 5.68 xPts, xGF 3.73, xGA 1.51, Δ +3.32. Ecuador reached this slot as third in Group E with 4 pts, 5.51 xPts, xGF 5.12, xGA 2.67, Δ -1.51.

The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the group-stage form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Mexico team page · Ecuador team page.