Mexico finished 10-3 on goals from 6.66-3.87 xG
England ended the clean-sheet run 3-2; Mexico still finished 3.34 above xG and 0.87 below xGA.
World Cup 2026 Round of 16 · Match 92 · latest available post-match xG updated 18 August 2026, 13:37 ET
Match 92 has a post-match xG result: Mexico 2–3 England. This page leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context only.
England advanced from a balanced knockout game 2–3 (1.88–1.61 xG).
Full match page: Mexico 2–3 England
England advanced 3-2, and the match xG was close (1.61-1.88). By xG, this was a narrow knockout result rather than a clear robbery.
England ended the clean-sheet run 3-2; Mexico still finished 3.34 above xG and 0.87 below xGA.
Mexico 2–0 Ecuador.
Match xG: Mexico 1.05 · Ecuador 0.75
England 2–1 DR Congo.
Match xG: England 2.16 · DR Congo 0.77
Mexico reached this round through Mexico 2–0 Ecuador, with 1.05-0.75 xG against Ecuador.
England reached this round through France 4–6 England, with 2.88-2.88 xG against France.
Mexico reached this slot as winner of Match 79. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 6.66, xGA 3.87, xGD +2.79; the group-stage baseline was 9 group points, 5.68 group-stage xPts, xGF 3.73, xGA 1.51, points-vs-xPts Δ +3.32.
England reached this slot as winner of Match 80. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 11.14, xGA 8.63, xGD +2.51; the group-stage baseline was 7 group points, 4.36 group-stage xPts, xGF 2.92, xGA 0.83, points-vs-xPts Δ +2.64.
The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.
More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Mexico team page · England team page.