Who won Belgium vs Senegal at the World Cup 2026?

Belgium beat Senegal in Match 82 and advanced from the Round of 32. The score was Belgium 3–2 Senegal; the xG was Belgium 1.74 · Senegal 3.58.

What was the xG in Belgium vs Senegal?

Belgium 1.74 · Senegal 3.58. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Belgium 0.58 and Senegal 2.29.

World Cup 2026 Round of 32 · Match 82 · latest available post-match xG updated 2 July 2026, 02:56 ET

Belgium 3–2 Senegal xG: World Cup 2026 Round of 32 result

Match 82 has a post-match xG result: Belgium 3–2 Senegal. The page now leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context, with the original group-stage form kept below.

Round of 32 result

Belgium advanced from Match 82

Senegal had the stronger chance profile (3.58–1.74 xG) but were knocked out 3–2; Belgium advanced against the xG run.

Score: 3–2
xG: 1.74–3.58
Match xPts: 0.58–2.29

Full match page: Belgium 3–2 Senegal

xG verdict

Did Belgium deserve to beat Senegal by xG?

The bracket result stands because Belgium advanced 3–2, but the xG case was stronger for Senegal, who led the match xG 3.58–1.74. By chances, Belgium advanced against the xG profile.

BREAKING:

Belgium advanced despite Senegal's 3.58-1.74 xG edge: Belgium won 3–2; Senegal created 3.58 xG to Belgium's 1.74. Late-game heroics for Belgium, brutal xG exit for Senegal.

Quick answers

Who won Belgium vs Senegal at the World Cup 2026?: Belgium beat Senegal in Match 82 and advanced from the Round of 32. The score was Belgium 3–2 Senegal; the xG was Belgium 1.74 · Senegal 3.58.
Did Belgium deserve to beat Senegal by xG?: The bracket result stands because Belgium advanced 3–2, but the xG case was stronger for Senegal, who led the match xG 3.58–1.74. By chances, Belgium advanced against the xG profile.
What was the xG in Belgium vs Senegal?: Belgium 1.74 · Senegal 3.58. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Belgium 0.58 and Senegal 2.29.
Was Belgium 3–2 Senegal fair by xG?: Senegal had the stronger chance profile (3.58–1.74 xG) but were knocked out 3–2; Belgium advanced against the xG run.

Group-stage xG form

Match 82

Belgium

first in Group G

Pts: 5
xPts: 6.63
Δ: -1.63
xGF: 6.78
xGA: 1.94
xGD: +4.84

Match 82

Senegal

third in Group I

Pts: 3
xPts: 4.50
Δ: -1.50
xGF: 5.26
xGA: 4.13
xGD: +1.13

How they got here

Belgium reached this slot as first in Group G with 5 pts, 6.63 xPts, xGF 6.78, xGA 1.94, Δ -1.63. Senegal reached this slot as third in Group I with 3 pts, 4.50 xPts, xGF 5.26, xGA 4.13, Δ -1.50.

The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the group-stage form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Belgium team page · Senegal team page.