Who won Belgium vs Senegal?

Belgium won 3–2 and advanced. The xG was Belgium 1.74, Senegal 3.58.

Was Belgium 3–2 Senegal fair by xG?

No. Belgium won the scoreboard, but Senegal had the stronger xG profile.

What was the biggest xG takeaway?

Belgium advanced, but Senegal had the stronger chance profile (3.58–1.74 xG). Match xPts: Belgium 0.58, Senegal 2.29. In knockouts, xPts is chance context only; the score decides who advances.

Belgium 3–2 Senegal

Knockout xG verdict

Senegal had the stronger chance profile (3.58–1.74 xG) but were knocked out 3–2; Belgium advanced against the xG run.

Quick answers

ResultWho won Belgium vs Senegal?: Belgium won 3–2 and advanced. The xG was Belgium 1.74, Senegal 3.58.
Better xGWho had the better xG in Belgium vs Senegal?: Senegal had the better xG profile, leading the chance quality 3.58–1.74, but Belgium won 3–2.
Fair resultWas Belgium 3–2 Senegal fair by xG?: No. Belgium won the scoreboard, but Senegal had the stronger xG profile.
Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?: Belgium advanced, but Senegal had the stronger chance profile (3.58–1.74 xG). Match xPts: Belgium 0.58, Senegal 2.29. In knockouts, xPts is chance context only; the score decides who advances.

BREAKING:

Belgium advanced despite Senegal's 3.58-1.74 xG edge: Belgium won 3–2; Senegal created 3.58 xG to Belgium's 1.74. Late-game heroics for Belgium, brutal xG exit for Senegal.

Score	3–2
Expected goals (xG)	Belgium 1.74 · Senegal 3.58
Match xPts	Belgium 0.58 · Senegal 2.29
Stage	Knockout stage
Published FIFA rank	Belgium FIFA #9 (9th of 48) · Senegal FIFA #15 (14th of 48)

Who had the better xG in Belgium vs Senegal?

Senegal created the better chances — 3.58–1.74 xG, an edge of 1.84. Yet Belgium won 3–2, a result that defied the expected goals. Match xPts were Belgium 0.58 and Senegal 2.29; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.

Was Belgium lucky or unlucky?

Belgium were clinical in front of goal — 3 goals from 1.74 xG, and well protected at the back, conceding 2 from 3.58 xGA faced. They advanced despite the weaker chance profile.

Was Senegal lucky or unlucky?

Senegal were wasteful in front of goal — just 2 from 3.58 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 3 from only 1.74 xGA faced. They were eliminated despite the stronger chance profile.

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