World Cup 2026 Round of 16 · Match 94 · latest available post-match xG updated 18 August 2026, 13:37 ET

USA 1–4 Belgium xG: World Cup 2026 Round of 16 result

Match 94 has a post-match xG result: USA 1–4 Belgium. This page leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context only.

Round of 16 result

Belgium advanced from Match 94

Belgium advanced with an xG edge (2.01–0.63 xG), winning 1–4.

Score
1-4
xG
0.63-2.01
Match xPts
0.51-2.29

Full match page: USA 1–4 Belgium

xG verdict

Did Belgium deserve to beat USA by xG?

Yes. Belgium advanced 4-1 and also led the match xG 2.01-0.63. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.

Quick answers

Who won USA vs Belgium at the World Cup 2026?
Belgium beat USA in Match 94 and advanced from the Round of 16. The score was USA 1–4 Belgium; the xG was USA 0.63 · Belgium 2.01.
Did Belgium deserve to beat USA by xG?
Yes. Belgium advanced 4-1 and also led the match xG 2.01-0.63. On chance quality, the win was backed by the xGF profile.
What was the xG in USA vs Belgium?
USA 0.63 · Belgium 2.01. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were USA 0.51 and Belgium 2.29.

Relevant xG stories

Path so far

Tournament xG form

Match 94

USA

winner of Match 81

Total xGF
6.14
Total xGA
6.20
Total xGD
-0.06
Group xPts
4.96
Group Δ
+1.04
KO xG
1.51-2.26

USA reached this round through USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina, with 0.88-0.25 xG against Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Match 94

Belgium

winner of Match 82

Total xGF
10.87
Total xGA
8.11
Total xGD
+2.76
Group xPts
6.63
Group Δ
-1.63
KO xG
4.09-6.17

Belgium reached this round through Spain 2–1 Belgium, with 0.34-1.96 xG against Spain.

How they got here

USA reached this slot as winner of Match 81. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 6.14, xGA 6.20, xGD -0.06; the group-stage baseline was 6 group points, 4.96 group-stage xPts, xGF 4.63, xGA 3.94, points-vs-xPts Δ +1.04.

Belgium reached this slot as winner of Match 82. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 10.87, xGA 8.11, xGD +2.76; the group-stage baseline was 5 group points, 6.63 group-stage xPts, xGF 6.78, xGA 1.94, points-vs-xPts Δ -1.63.

The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · USA team page · Belgium team page.