World Cup 2026 Round of 16 · Match 94 · latest available post-match xG updated 2 July 2026, 02:56 ET

USA vs Belgium World Cup 2026 Round of 16 xG guide

The USA and Belgium are confirmed for Match 94. This guide compares total tournament xG, group-stage xG form, and each team's Round of 32 receipt. It is not a prediction.

Quick answers

Who do USA play next in the World Cup 2026 bracket?
USA play Belgium in Match 94, a Round of 16 tie. USA advanced as winner of Match 81; Belgium advanced as winner of Match 82.
What is the USA vs Belgium xG guide?
USA: total tournament xGF 5.51, xGA 4.19, xGD +1.32; group-stage baseline 6 group points, 4.96 group-stage xPts, xGF 4.63, xGA 3.94, points-vs-xPts Δ +1.04. Belgium: total tournament xGF 8.52, xGA 5.52, xGD +3.00; group-stage baseline 5 group points, 6.63 group-stage xPts, xGF 6.78, xGA 1.94, points-vs-xPts Δ -1.63. This is retrospective form, not a prediction.
Is this a prediction?
No. This page compares completed xG-backed matches only: group-stage xG, prior knockout xG, total tournament xG and points-vs-xPts context. It does not forecast a winner or score.

Relevant xG stories

Path so far

Tournament xG form

Match 94

USA

winner of Match 81

Total xGF
5.51
Total xGA
4.19
Total xGD
+1.32
Group xPts
4.96
Group Δ
+1.04
KO xG
0.88-0.25

USA reached this round through USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina, with 0.88-0.25 xG against Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Match 94

Belgium

winner of Match 82

Total xGF
8.52
Total xGA
5.52
Total xGD
+3.00
Group xPts
6.63
Group Δ
-1.63
KO xG
1.74-3.58

Belgium reached this round through Belgium 3–2 Senegal, with 1.74-3.58 xG against Senegal.

How they got here

USA reached this slot as winner of Match 81. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 5.51, xGA 4.19, xGD +1.32; the group-stage baseline was 6 group points, 4.96 group-stage xPts, xGF 4.63, xGA 3.94, points-vs-xPts Δ +1.04.

Belgium reached this slot as winner of Match 82. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 8.52, xGA 5.52, xGD +3.00; the group-stage baseline was 5 group points, 6.63 group-stage xPts, xGF 6.78, xGA 1.94, points-vs-xPts Δ -1.63.

The official bracket decides the matchup. These numbers describe completed xG-backed matches only: group-stage xG, prior knockout xG, and total tournament xG.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · USA team page · Belgium team page.