USA advanced, but Balogun is set to miss Belgium
USA beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2–0 with a 0.88-0.25 xG edge; Balogun scored before the red card that changes the Belgium tie.
World Cup 2026 Round of 16 · Match 94 · latest available post-match xG updated 2 July 2026, 02:56 ET
The USA and Belgium are confirmed for Match 94. This guide compares total tournament xG, group-stage xG form, and each team's Round of 32 receipt. It is not a prediction.
USA beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2–0 with a 0.88-0.25 xG edge; Balogun scored before the red card that changes the Belgium tie.
Belgium won 3–2; Senegal created 3.58 xG to Belgium's 1.74. Late-game heroics for Belgium, brutal xG exit for Senegal.
USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Match xG: USA 0.88 · Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.25
Belgium 3–2 Senegal.
Match xG: Belgium 1.74 · Senegal 3.58
USA reached this round through USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina, with 0.88-0.25 xG against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Belgium reached this round through Belgium 3–2 Senegal, with 1.74-3.58 xG against Senegal.
USA reached this slot as winner of Match 81. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 5.51, xGA 4.19, xGD +1.32; the group-stage baseline was 6 group points, 4.96 group-stage xPts, xGF 4.63, xGA 3.94, points-vs-xPts Δ +1.04.
Belgium reached this slot as winner of Match 82. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 8.52, xGA 5.52, xGD +3.00; the group-stage baseline was 5 group points, 6.63 group-stage xPts, xGF 6.78, xGA 1.94, points-vs-xPts Δ -1.63.
The official bracket decides the matchup. These numbers describe completed xG-backed matches only: group-stage xG, prior knockout xG, and total tournament xG.
More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · USA team page · Belgium team page.