USA 1–4 Belgium
Belgium advanced with an xG edge (2.01–0.63 xG), winning 1–4.
Quick answers
- ResultWho won USA vs Belgium?
- Belgium won 4–1 and advanced. The xG was USA 0.63, Belgium 2.01.
- Better xGWho had the better xG in USA vs Belgium?
- Belgium had the better xG profile, creating the better chances 2.01–0.63 and winning 4–1.
- Fair resultWas USA 1–4 Belgium fair by xG?
- Yes. Belgium won both the scoreboard and the xG battle.
- Biggest xG takeawayWhat was the biggest xG takeaway?
- Belgium advanced with the stronger chance profile (2.01–0.63 xG). Match xPts: USA 0.51, Belgium 2.29. In knockouts, xPts supports the verdict rather than changing the bracket.
- Ranking contextWas USA 1–4 Belgium a published FIFA ranking upset?
- No. USA entered 16th of 48 in the World Cup field; Belgium entered 9th of 48. The higher-ranked side got the result and had the stronger xG profile, 2.01–0.63.
| Score | 1–4 |
|---|---|
| Expected goals (xG) | USA 0.63 · Belgium 2.01 |
| Match xPts | USA 0.51 · Belgium 2.29 |
| Stage | Knockout stage |
| Published FIFA rank | USA FIFA #17 (16th of 48) · Belgium FIFA #9 (9th of 48) |
Who had the better xG in USA vs Belgium?
Belgium created the better chances — 2.01–0.63 xG, an edge of 1.38. And Belgium duly won 4–1, the result matching the run of chances. Match xPts were USA 0.51 and Belgium 2.29; in a knockout match, xPts is chance context only and the score decides advancement.
Was USA lucky or unlucky?
USA were about on script in attack — 1 from 0.63 xG, but punished at the back, shipping 4 from only 2.01 xGA faced. Their elimination matched the weaker chance profile.
Was Belgium lucky or unlucky?
Belgium were clinical in front of goal — 4 goals from 2.01 xG, and conceded about what their defending deserved (1 from 0.63 xGA). They advanced with the stronger chance profile.
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