World Cup 2026 Round of 16 · Match 89 · latest available post-match xG updated 2 July 2026, 02:56 ET

Canada vs Morocco World Cup 2026 Round of 16 xG guide

Canada and Morocco are confirmed for Match 89. This guide compares total tournament xG, group-stage xG form, and each team's Round of 32 receipt. It is not a prediction.

Quick answers

Who do Canada play next in the World Cup 2026 bracket?
Canada play Morocco in Match 89, a Round of 16 tie. Canada advanced as winner of Match 73; Morocco advanced as winner of Match 75.
What is the Canada vs Morocco xG guide?
Canada: total tournament xGF 8.87, xGA 2.43, xGD +6.44; group-stage baseline 4 group points, 6.24 group-stage xPts, xGF 7.49, xGA 2.29, points-vs-xPts Δ -2.24. Morocco: total tournament xGF 7.50, xGA 3.23, xGD +4.27; group-stage baseline 7 group points, 5.76 group-stage xPts, xGF 6.12, xGA 2.99, points-vs-xPts Δ +1.24. This is retrospective form, not a prediction.
Is this a prediction?
No. This page compares completed xG-backed matches only: group-stage xG, prior knockout xG, total tournament xG and points-vs-xPts context. It does not forecast a winner or score.

Relevant xG stories

Path so far

Tournament xG form

Match 89

Canada

winner of Match 73

Total xGF
8.87
Total xGA
2.43
Total xGD
+6.44
Group xPts
6.24
Group Δ
-2.24
KO xG
1.38-0.14

Canada reached this round through South Africa 0–1 Canada, with 1.38-0.14 xG against South Africa.

Match 89

Morocco

winner of Match 75

Total xGF
7.50
Total xGA
3.23
Total xGD
+4.27
Group xPts
5.76
Group Δ
+1.24
KO xG
1.38-0.24

Morocco reached this round through Netherlands 1–1 (2–3 pens) Morocco, with 1.38-0.24 xG against Netherlands.

How they got here

Canada reached this slot as winner of Match 73. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 8.87, xGA 2.43, xGD +6.44; the group-stage baseline was 4 group points, 6.24 group-stage xPts, xGF 7.49, xGA 2.29, points-vs-xPts Δ -2.24.

Morocco reached this slot as winner of Match 75. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 7.50, xGA 3.23, xGD +4.27; the group-stage baseline was 7 group points, 5.76 group-stage xPts, xGF 6.12, xGA 2.99, points-vs-xPts Δ +1.24.

The official bracket decides the matchup. These numbers describe completed xG-backed matches only: group-stage xG, prior knockout xG, and total tournament xG.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Canada team page · Morocco team page.