Morocco advanced on penalties with a 1.38-0.24 xG edge
After 1–1 (2–3 pens), Morocco had the stronger chance profile and won the shootout; Netherlands were held to 0.24 xG.
World Cup 2026 Round of 16 · Match 89 · latest available post-match xG updated 18 August 2026, 13:37 ET
Match 89 has a post-match xG result: Canada 0–3 Morocco. This page leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context only.
Morocco advanced from a balanced knockout game 0–3 (0.84–0.82 xG).
Full match page: Canada 0–3 Morocco
Morocco advanced 3-0, and the match xG was close (0.82-0.84). By xG, this was a narrow knockout result rather than a clear robbery.
After 1–1 (2–3 pens), Morocco had the stronger chance profile and won the shootout; Netherlands were held to 0.24 xG.
South Africa 0–1 Canada.
Match xG: South Africa 0.14 · Canada 1.38
Netherlands 1–1 (2–3 pens) Morocco.
Match xG: Netherlands 0.24 · Morocco 1.38
Canada reached this round through South Africa 0–1 Canada, with 1.38-0.14 xG against South Africa.
Morocco reached this round through France 2–0 Morocco, with 0.14-3.69 xG against France.
Canada reached this slot as winner of Match 73. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 9.71, xGA 3.25, xGD +6.46; the group-stage baseline was 4 group points, 6.24 group-stage xPts, xGF 7.49, xGA 2.29, points-vs-xPts Δ -2.24.
Morocco reached this slot as winner of Match 75. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 8.46, xGA 7.76, xGD +0.70; the group-stage baseline was 7 group points, 5.76 group-stage xPts, xGF 6.12, xGA 2.99, points-vs-xPts Δ +1.24.
The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.
More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Canada team page · Morocco team page.