World Cup 2026 Round of 16 · Match 89 · latest available post-match xG updated 18 August 2026, 13:37 ET

Canada 0–3 Morocco xG: World Cup 2026 Round of 16 result

Match 89 has a post-match xG result: Canada 0–3 Morocco. This page leads with actual advancement and the knockout xG verdict; match xPts is supporting chance context only.

Round of 16 result

Morocco advanced from Match 89

Morocco advanced from a balanced knockout game 0–3 (0.84–0.82 xG).

Score
0-3
xG
0.84-0.82
Match xPts
1.34-1.31

Full match page: Canada 0–3 Morocco

xG verdict

Did Morocco deserve to beat Canada by xG?

Morocco advanced 3-0, and the match xG was close (0.82-0.84). By xG, this was a narrow knockout result rather than a clear robbery.

Quick answers

Who won Canada vs Morocco at the World Cup 2026?
Morocco beat Canada in Match 89 and advanced from the Round of 16. The score was Canada 0–3 Morocco; the xG was Canada 0.84 · Morocco 0.82.
Did Morocco deserve to beat Canada by xG?
Morocco advanced 3-0, and the match xG was close (0.82-0.84). By xG, this was a narrow knockout result rather than a clear robbery.
What was the xG in Canada vs Morocco?
Canada 0.84 · Morocco 0.82. Match xPts, used here as chance context rather than bracket points, were Canada 1.34 and Morocco 1.31.

Relevant xG stories

Path so far

Tournament xG form

Match 89

Canada

winner of Match 73

Total xGF
9.71
Total xGA
3.25
Total xGD
+6.46
Group xPts
6.24
Group Δ
-2.24
KO xG
2.22-0.96

Canada reached this round through South Africa 0–1 Canada, with 1.38-0.14 xG against South Africa.

Match 89

Morocco

winner of Match 75

Total xGF
8.46
Total xGA
7.76
Total xGD
+0.70
Group xPts
5.76
Group Δ
+1.24
KO xG
2.34-4.77

Morocco reached this round through France 2–0 Morocco, with 0.14-3.69 xG against France.

How they got here

Canada reached this slot as winner of Match 73. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 9.71, xGA 3.25, xGD +6.46; the group-stage baseline was 4 group points, 6.24 group-stage xPts, xGF 7.49, xGA 2.29, points-vs-xPts Δ -2.24.

Morocco reached this slot as winner of Match 75. Their total tournament xG line is xGF 8.46, xGA 7.76, xGD +0.70; the group-stage baseline was 7 group points, 5.76 group-stage xPts, xGF 6.12, xGA 2.99, points-vs-xPts Δ +1.24.

The knockout score decides advancement. The xG numbers describe the match chance profile and the form each side brought into the tie; match xPts is context only.

More context: World Cup 2026 bracket · results and xG · Canada team page · Morocco team page.